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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpfurialetsgoHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)52% (590–548, n=1138)47% (670–741, n=1411)
Consensus PnL$529K$28K$400K$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #9PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus52% (120 of 231 open)no open consensus position70% (63 of 90 open)63% (45 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)—2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)—32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)—60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)—7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpfurialetsgoHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $303—Vikings $6.7KPackers $15K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $620—Seahawks $20KSeahawks $19K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $159—Mavericks $2.4KMavericks $533
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $205—Suns $1.9KSuns $809
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K——Under $34K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $24KTitans $12K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.3K—Saints $19K—
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $16—49ers $8.3K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $6.2K
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $6.3KJets $212
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.8KOver $3.4K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $183Jazz $4.8K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.8KUnder $1.7K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $265Clippers $2.3K
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.8K——Over $7
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31—Under $1.7K—
Helsinki: Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $803——Iiro Vasa $653
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K——Over $297
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Iberian Soul
Iberian Soul $16——Omega $787
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $75—Mavericks $200—
Will CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $119——No $95
Orleans (Doubles): Liutarevich/Pieczonka vs Paul/Vocel
opposite sides · consensus Paul/Vocel
Liutarevich/Pieczonka $29——Paul/Vocel $124
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $19Pacers $120
Will Cyprus vs. Montenegro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $76——No $63
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
opposite sides · consensus Gladiators Trier
Fraport Skyliners $100——Gladiators Trier $28
Montevideo: Bruno (2002) Oliveira vs Maximo Zeitune
opposite sides · consensus Maximo Zeitune
Maximo Zeitune $24——Bruno (2002) Oliveira $66
Will Paris 13 Atletico vs. Red Star FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $21——Yes $21
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
same side · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $7.7KOregon Ducks $20K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KPatriots $19K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KUnder $22K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KVikings $14K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $2.5KBrowns $19K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165——Falcons $15K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $412Under $11K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K——Mertens/Zhang $9.3K
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
——Rams $5.4KRams $4.9K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $2.3KCowboys $3.3K
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $362
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $489——76ers $2.7K
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
——Nebraska Cornhuskers $1.7KNebraska Cornhuskers $1.1K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Rockets $356—Rockets $2.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $2.0K—
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $392——Otto Virtanen $886
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
Vadym Ursu $977——Vadym Ursu $37
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $9——Under $972
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $583——Under $303
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $655——Yes $32
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
No $534——No $8
Will Paris 13 Atletico win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $422——No $102
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $423——Yes $3