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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSecondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)48% (446–481, n=927)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$410K$398K$521K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #19PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus54% (127 of 236 open)68% (117 of 171 open)53% (44 of 83 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

50 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighSecondhandvinyl
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $505Under $9.8KOver $17K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $164Trail Blazers $376Kings $22K—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $608Spurs $15KWarriors $2—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.0KThunder $12KClippers $332—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.2KSpurs $3.2KWarriors $241—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $793Under $6.1KOver $2—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4KOver $71Over $4.9K—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $388Clippers $40Clippers $558—
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
UNLV Runnin' Rebels $764Stanford Cardinal $2Stanford Cardinal $19—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $3UIC Flames $2—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $8.7KUnder $51K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.1KSpurs $25KSpurs $24K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5KRangers $39K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.9KJazz $8.7KJazz $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560Spurs $5.5KSpurs $746—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4KOver $2.6KOver $5—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7KJazz $10—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $515Clippers $1.7KClippers $844—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $487Kings $44Kings $16—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $220Clippers $172Clippers $25—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $4Warriors $173Warriors $77—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $499Trail Blazers $29K—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $22KClippers $39—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $434UCLA $21K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0K—Over $6.4K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.0K——Under $22
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $71Over $3.2K——
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Auburn Tigers $889Arizona Wildcats $1.3K——
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $782——No $1.0K
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $333—Rockets $1.4K—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $810Under $847—
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5Under $1.5K——
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4K—Under $22—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $3—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $391Under $625—
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $12Jazz $970—
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide $703—Seton Hall Pirates $210—
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Auburn Tigers $732Arizona Wildcats $156——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $512—Under $21—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5Under $499——
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336——
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Arizona Wildcats $429Auburn Tigers $14—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $341Over $10——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $119Trail Blazers $214—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins
—Maryland Terrapins $42Virginia Cavaliers $190—
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Rockets $183Jazz $9——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $103Trail Blazers $79——
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-31.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Arizona State Sun Devils $57Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks $95——
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9Under $113——