← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | Tsamam | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 58% (11–8, n=19) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $362K | $769K | $4.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #980 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (134 of 248 open) | 63% (111 of 175 open) | no open consensus position | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 33% (won 100% of 4) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | Tsamam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6.6K | Bulls $9.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $2.2K | Cavaliers $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | Nets $9.1K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | Under $8.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $24 | Cavaliers $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $325 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Under $4.6K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $963 | Under $5.1K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | Under $549 | — | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Flyers $13 | Blue Jackets $796 | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $239 | Over $405 | — | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1 | Under $591 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $29 | Over $445 | — | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11 | Under $452 | — | — |
| Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons | Little Rock Trojans $4 | Northwestern State Demons $435 | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | — | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | Over $241 | — | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $104 | Under $37 | — | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $16 | Bruins $70 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $15 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $4 | Pistons $9 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Cavaliers $48K | — | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $14K | Pelicans $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $935 | Grizzlies $25K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $155 | Cavaliers $15K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $31 | Under $14K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $2.4K | Cavaliers $8.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $8.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $914 | Cavaliers $8.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | Cavaliers $6.7K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $547 | Cavaliers $6.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $2.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Under $4.9K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $221 | Over $4.7K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Over $1.2K | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $139 | Under $4.2K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $238 | Under $2.9K | — | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $254 | Under $2.8K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $1.4K | Cavaliers $311 | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $179 | Under $910 | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals same side · consensus Devils | Capitals $75 | Capitals $894 | — | — |