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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (16–14, n=30) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 48% (512–551, n=1063) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $586K | $332K | $545K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 63% (161 of 257 open) | 68% (88 of 129 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 37% (won 100% of 126) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 6) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 171) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 6% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 25) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | — | Kraken $4.8K | Hurricanes $33K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | — | Texas A&M $6.2K | Tennessee $25K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $24K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $14K |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Ohio State $396 | Northwestern $15K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.7K | Over $11K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | — | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.3K | Over $5.5K |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | — | Bruins $550 | Wild $9.6K |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | — | Blue Jackets $833 | Flyers $8.8K |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | — | Liberty $2.6K | Middle Tennessee $6.3K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $6.6K | Over $2.3K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Bulls $1.3K | Timberwolves $7.2K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | — | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.3K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $6.4K |
| Wake Forest vs. SMU opposite sides · consensus Wake Forest | — | — | SMU $258 | Wake Forest $6.5K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.9K | Over $2.1K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Cavaliers $3.7K | Mavericks $1.2K |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | — | — | LSU Tigers $1.6K | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves | — | — | George Mason Patriots $1.3K | Bradley Braves $2.5K |
| Spread: West Virginia (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Kansas | — | — | West Virginia $410 | Kansas $3.4K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | — | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.5K |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Kraken | — | — | Kraken $1.3K | Hurricanes $479 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $23 | Under $1.7K |
| Northwestern vs. Ohio State opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | — | — | Northwestern $862 | Ohio State $372 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | — | Florida $18 | Kentucky $1.2K |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots | — | — | Bradley Braves $110 | George Mason Patriots $686 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio State | — | — | Northwestern $28K | Northwestern $14K |
| Spread: Texas State (-9.5) same side · consensus Texas State | — | — | Texas State $15K | Texas State $22K |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Vanderbilt $4.7K | Vanderbilt $26K |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.6K | Over $23K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9.3K | Over $15K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina same side · consensus Coastal Carolina | — | — | Coastal Carolina $8.7K | Coastal Carolina $11K |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | — | — | Kennesaw State $2.9K | Kennesaw State $12K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $870 | Nets $10K |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | — | — | Lightning $774 | Lightning $10K |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Miami (FL) $50 | Miami (FL) $10K |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 45.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.1K | Over $4.9K |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Miami (FL) $5.8K | Miami (FL) $2.5K |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.9K | Under $298 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | — | New Mexico $685 | New Mexico $6.3K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.7K |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) same side · consensus UConn | — | — | UConn $2.8K | UConn $1.4K |
| Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $343 | Over $3.8K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $678 | Over $3.4K |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt same side · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $64 | Alabama $3.8K |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.5K | Under $576 |
| Spread: Nevada (-5.5) same side · consensus Nevada | — | — | Nevada $107 | Nevada $1.6K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.4K | Over $143 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $532 | Over $899 |