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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 48% (512–551, n=1063) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $332K | $545K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (162 of 258 open) | 69% (90 of 130 open) | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 37% (won 100% of 126) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 171) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
57 on the same side, 59 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $4.8K | Hurricanes $33K | Kraken $6.2K |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $4.7K | Vanderbilt $26K | Alabama $4.2K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Texas A&M $6.2K | Tennessee $25K | Texas A&M $1.1K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | Under $24K | Over $339 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | Ohio State $396 | Northwestern $15K | Northwestern $2.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.7K | Over $11K | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $14K | USC $2 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.6K | Over $2.3K | Under $4.7K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.3K | Over $5.5K | Over $688 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $50 | Miami (FL) $10K | Duke $337 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $5.8K | Miami (FL) $2.5K | Duke $439 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $3.2K | Pistons $1.3K | Heat $3.2K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.7K | Stanford $51 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $64 | Alabama $3.8K | Vanderbilt $857 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.5K | Canadiens $701 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $23 | Under $1.7K | Over $246 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $28K | Northwestern $14K | Northwestern $946 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $870 | Nets $10K | Nets $16K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.3K | Over $15K | Over $536 |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | — | Kennesaw State $2.9K | Kennesaw State $12K | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.9K | Under $298 | Under $2.5K |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.5K | Under $576 | Under $25 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 53.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $56 | Over $1.2K | Over $19 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $19K | — | Over $12K |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $2.7K | — | Heat $15K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7.3K | — | Over $9.6K |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $550 | Wild $9.6K | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $833 | Flyers $8.8K | — |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | Liberty $2.6K | Middle Tennessee $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.3K | Timberwolves $7.2K | — |
| UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.9K | — | Under $4.2K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.3K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $6.6K | — | Arkansas $733 |
| Wake Forest vs. SMU opposite sides · consensus Wake Forest | — | SMU $258 | Wake Forest $6.5K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $2.1K | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $5.8K | — | Over $103 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $3.7K | Mavericks $1.2K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $4.7K | — | Pelicans $77 |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves | — | George Mason Patriots $1.3K | Bradley Braves $2.9K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.8K | — | James Madison $1.2K |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | — | LSU Tigers $1.6K | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K | — |
| Spread: West Virginia (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Kansas | — | West Virginia $410 | Kansas $3.4K | — |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Washington $3.1K | — | Michigan State $596 |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $309 |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $174 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.7K | — | Vanderbilt $951 |
| East Carolina vs. Charlotte: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $144 |