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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2239–910, n=3149) | 48% (512–551, n=1063) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $432K | $545K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (162 of 327 open) | 69% (90 of 130 open) | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 396) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 215) | 37% (won 100% of 126) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 63% of 112) | 50% (won 100% of 171) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 265) | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Duke $314 | Miami (FL) $10K | Duke $337 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | Over $733 | Over $12 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $435 | Under $283 | Over $11 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State same side · consensus Iowa State | — | Cincinnati $13 | Cincinnati $361 | Cincinnati $228 |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | — | Hurricanes $33K | Kraken $6.2K |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Vanderbilt $26K | Alabama $4.2K |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | — | Tennessee $25K | Texas A&M $1.1K |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $24K | Over $339 |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.0K | Under $19K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — | Nets $16K |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | — | Yes $2.8K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $11K | Under $1.8K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina | — | Arkansas State $327 | Coastal Carolina $11K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.3K | Under $4.7K |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Denmark | — | Portugal $1.5K | Denmark $5.5K | — |
| Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.7K | Under $3.9K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $4.7K | Stanford $51 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $3.8K | Vanderbilt $857 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $1.3K | Heat $3.2K |
| Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.5K | — | Yes $210 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | — | Under $36 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.6K | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | — | Avalanche $2.5K | Canadiens $701 |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.1K | Yes $35 | — |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves | — | George Mason Patriots $72 | Bradley Braves $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Miami (FL) $2.5K | Duke $439 |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.7K | Over $246 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $373 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $423 |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | Florida $460 | Kentucky $940 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $132 | Mavericks $1.2K | — |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $634 | Yes $626 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $625 | — | South Carolina $542 |
| Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $12 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.0K | — | Mavericks $105 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C opposite sides · consensus Team Liquid | — | LEGION $10 | Team Liquid $877 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | — | SMU $871 | Wake Forest $14 |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots | — | Bradley Braves $83 | George Mason Patriots $552 | — |
| Northwestern vs. Ohio State opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $198 | Ohio State $372 | — |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | — | Over $351 |
| Will AS Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $421 | No $46 | — |
| Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $316 | Yes $4 | — |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $221 | Yes $2 | — |
| Spread: Wales (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Norway | — | Norway $60 | — | Wales $140 |
| Knoxville: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniel Milavsky same side · consensus Abedallah Shelbayh | — | Abedallah Shelbayh $8.6K | Abedallah Shelbayh $85K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $4.3K | — | Nets $25K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $10K | Nets $16K |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) same side · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Northwestern $15K | Northwestern $2.2K |
| Spread: Clemson (-15.5) same side · consensus Georgia Tech | — | — | Georgia Tech $16K | Georgia Tech $140 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $15K | Over $536 |