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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)47% (692–767, n=1459)53% (532–472, n=1004)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$533K$865K$635K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)47% (109 of 234 open)61% (91 of 148 open)52% (57 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢0%24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $23K49ers $61K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $53Dolphins $39KColts $1.3K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.3KOver $28KUnder $9
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $7.1KOver $937
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $842Ole Miss $558Oklahoma $694
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
—France $10KFrance $11KFrance $29
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8Over $3.3KOver $264
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $150K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $21KPackers $38K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $22KChiefs $19K
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $801—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $25KUnder $2.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $21K76ers $24
Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $12K—Yes $3.3K
Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.2K—Over $5.0K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $90Knicks $9.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Lakers $398Suns $8.9K—
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Czechia
—Croatia $222Czechia $8.2K—
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $397—Packers $7.1K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.8KUnder $123
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4.5KOver $2.2K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.0KOver $907
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $374Jazz $5.1K—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $26Jets $5.2K
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $867—Over $4.1K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $4.8KCardinals $199
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $609
Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.4K—Yes $1.3K
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KOver $270
Will France win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.5K—Yes $498
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $24576ers $2.0K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
—Louisville Cardinals $442Memphis Tigers $1.3K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $585Under $876
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13—
Aquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Virtus Bologna
—Virtus Bologna $1.1KAquila Basket Trento $5—
Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid
—Real Madrid $1.1KKosner Baskonia $62—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3Over $950—
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $887Under $17—
Amici Pallacanestro Udinese vs. Olimpia Milano
opposite sides · consensus Olimpia Milano
—Olimpia Milano $740Amici Pallacanestro Udinese $155—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $85Pacers $507—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28—Under $529
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $439—
Air Force Falcons vs. Pacific Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Air Force Falcons
—Air Force Falcons $18—Pacific Tigers $273
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $100Pacers $182—
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $38KBills $122K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $10KJaguars $80K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $24KUnder $27K
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27KYes $3.8K——