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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)47% (692–767, n=1459)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$533K$865K$530K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)47% (109 of 234 open)61% (91 of 148 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $87Falcons $16KChiefs $7.8K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $23KCowboys $275
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $10KTitans $109K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $38KJets $54K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $53Dolphins $39K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.3KOver $28K—
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $801—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $7.1K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $90Knicks $9.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Lakers $398Suns $8.9K—
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Czechia
—Croatia $222Czechia $8.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $374Jazz $5.1K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $24576ers $2.0K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
—Louisville Cardinals $442Memphis Tigers $1.3K—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13—
Aquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Virtus Bologna
—Virtus Bologna $1.1KAquila Basket Trento $5—
Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid
—Real Madrid $1.1KKosner Baskonia $62—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3Over $950—
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $887Under $17—
Amici Pallacanestro Udinese vs. Olimpia Milano
opposite sides · consensus Olimpia Milano
—Olimpia Milano $740Amici Pallacanestro Udinese $155—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $85Pacers $507—
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $439—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $100Pacers $182—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $21KVikings $12K
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27KYes $3.8K——
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
—France $10KFrance $11K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $19K—
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
—Elina Svitolina $1.4KElina Svitolina $16K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.1KNo $629—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $3.3KCowboys $5.8K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $397—Vikings $8.5K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $125Suns $6.0K—
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $583Under $4.1K—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $171Under $3.7K—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
same side · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
—Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.1KNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $2.6K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $8Over $3.3K—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.7KOver $1.1K—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.9KPacers $220—
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $223—
Will CD Eldense win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $161—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $53Under $1.4K—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
same side · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $842Ole Miss $558—
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
same side · consensus Gladiators Trier
—Gladiators Trier $606Gladiators Trier $360—
Dota 2: Aurora vs DO KONCA (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
same side · consensus Aurora
—Aurora $4Aurora $773—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $628Under $11—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Titans $516Titans $95
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $323Over $272—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $81Under $357—