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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CFFFFFFFSAfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (16–15, n=31)48% (600–648, n=1248)54% (455–392, n=847)
Consensus PnL$0$795K$512K$324K
Tracked asPM monthly #837PM monthly #19PM monthly #18PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (75 of 143 open)56% (98 of 176 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCFFFFFFFSAfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $133KMavericks $48
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $14KBulls $31K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Arizona $21KUtah $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $26KUnder $1.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $20KUnder $125
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $9.3KAmanda Nunes $5.0K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Utah $11KArizona $2.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $12KUnder $63
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $573
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $7.8KUNLV $227
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
——Bilal Hasan $7.9KLuis Gurule $8
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
——Louisville $1.3KNorth Carolina $5.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5.8KUnder $290
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $5.2KHeat $915
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
——Flyers $5.1KBlue Jackets $320
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $2Heat $5.2K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $3.1KBulls $1.4K
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Blues $2.0KPanthers $1.7K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $1.7KArkansas $1.5K
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $8Under $2.1K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Boise State
——Boise State $895Oregon State $999
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
——Purdue $3Iowa $1.8K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $195Ducks $1.1K
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Kentucky $745Florida $551
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——LSU $24Texas $230
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $87Over $53
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Timberwolves $11Bulls $66
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
——Bulls $63KBulls $197K
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
——Stars $9.3KStars $96K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $33KGrizzlies $70K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $291Grizzlies $33K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus UNLV
——New Mexico $32KNew Mexico $281
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $20KOver $482
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $16KUnder $4.2K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $20KNuggets $504
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $7.1KHeat $11K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
——Texas $18KTexas $98
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $15KOver $521
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
——Arkansas $11KArkansas $4.1K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Avalanche
——Avalanche $4.0KAvalanche $9.9K
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
——Air Force $14KAir Force $167
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
——North Texas $10KNorth Texas $2.5K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Nets $6.0KNets $5.8K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9.6KOver $1.6K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
——Kevin Holland $1.9KKevin Holland $5.5K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
——Maple Leafs $3.5KMaple Leafs $2.6K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $3.2KVirginia Tech $1.3K
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.0KOver $942
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $3.4KNets $80