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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CFFFFFFFSAfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)
Consensus PnL$0$795K$482K$362K
Tracked asPM monthly #837PM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position55% (151 of 275 open)63% (118 of 188 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCFFFFFFFSAfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.9KUnder $32K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $75Cavaliers $15K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $6.1KBulls $9.1K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.2KUnder $8.4K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $2.4KNets $9.1K
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Mavericks $42Cavaliers $11K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Mavericks $90Cavaliers $9.4K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.0KUnder $4.6K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $876Under $5.1K
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $30Pelicans $5.4K
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $638Nuggets $4.1K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $2.0K
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $395Nuggets $586
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $332Under $549
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Flyers $4Blue Jackets $796
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $239Over $405
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1Under $591
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $393Pistons $199
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
——Little Rock Trojans $4Northwestern State Demons $526
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $29Over $445
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $11Under $452
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Red Wings
——Red Wings $80Lightning $218
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Arizona $23Utah $231
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $241
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
——Montana Grizzlies $21North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $104Under $37
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Wild $16Bruins $70
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $54Nets $15
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6Under $25
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $4Pistons $9
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Grizzlies $5Nets $8
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $11KCavaliers $48K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $8.4KPelicans $18K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $882Grizzlies $25K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Avalanche
——Canadiens $36Canadiens $14K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $31Under $14K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $137Under $11K
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $2.2KCavaliers $8.3K
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $952Cavaliers $8.1K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
——Heat $434Heat $7.4K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $259Under $7.4K
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $628Cavaliers $6.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $528Cavaliers $6.2K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $4.5KBulls $2.0K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $293Heat $6.0K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $4.4K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $221Over $4.7K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.4KOver $1.2K
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $136Under $4.2K