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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CFFFFFFFSAFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)54% (455–392, n=847)
Consensus PnL$0$482K$512K$324K
Tracked asPM monthly #837PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #287
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (150 of 278 open)53% (79 of 149 open)56% (100 of 180 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

63 on the same side, 77 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCFFFFFFFSAFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $92Bulls $63KBulls $197K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $11KCavaliers $133KMavericks $48
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $416Stars $9.3KStars $96K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Arizona $21KUtah $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.2KOver $26KUnder $1.7K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.9KUnder $21KOver $7.2K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $8.5KNuggets $20KNuggets $504
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Blues $1Panthers $25KBlues $53
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $562Nuggets $14KPelicans $1.7K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KOver $12KUnder $63
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
—Canadiens $134Avalanche $4.0KAvalanche $9.9K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $573Nets $6.0KNets $5.8K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.2KTimberwolves $3.1KBulls $1.4K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Pistons $5.2KHeat $915
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $402Over $5.7KUnder $290
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $11Flyers $5.1KBlue Jackets $320
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $2.0KArkansas $1.5K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $350Nets $3.4KNets $80
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $259Over $2.7KOver $316
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $93Over $8Under $2.1K
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $248Over $47Over $424
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $88Over $447Over $160
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $616Mavericks $2Mavericks $63
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $108Nets $412
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $205Oilers $204Oilers $89
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $371Timberwolves $11Bulls $66
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $54Under $87Over $53
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $950Grizzlies $291Grizzlies $33K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $293Heat $5.9KHeat $11K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $278Under $9Under $1.3K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39Under $5Under $1.2K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Heat $9Heat $363
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
—Baylor $17Baylor $43Baylor $5
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $881Under $45K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $14KBulls $31K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $140Penguins $32K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $19KUnder $125
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $75Devils $16K—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $9.3KAmanda Nunes $5.0K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Utah $11KArizona $2.2K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.6K—Nets $10K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $573
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $1.0K—Heat $10K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $7.8KUNLV $227
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
——Bilal Hasan $7.9KLuis Gurule $8
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
——Louisville $2.1KNorth Carolina $5.7K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $2Heat $5.2K
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Blues $2.0KPanthers $1.7K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.3KOver $289