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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDanny8273Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)56% (61–47, n=108)81% (21–5, n=26)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$770K$6.4K$533K$865K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #921PM monthly #9PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus53% (16 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)47% (109 of 234 open)61% (91 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%0%41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)0%24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)36% (won 78% of 9)11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)64% (won 94% of 16)24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDanny8273Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $874K—Falcons $87Falcons $16K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $75K—Colts $53Dolphins $39K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $77K—Cowboys $1549ers $23K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Titans $122K——Jaguars $10K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $76K——Falcons $22K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Pacers $84K—76ers $5.8K—
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $70K——Falcons $14
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.3KOver $28K
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $28KYes $801
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KOver $7.1K
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $6.9K——Dolphins $2.7K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Raptors $90Knicks $9.4K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
——Lakers $398Suns $8.9K
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Czechia
——Croatia $222Czechia $8.2K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Spurs $374Jazz $5.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Titans $40——Jaguars $3.8K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Pacers $24576ers $2.0K
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
——Louisville Cardinals $442Memphis Tigers $1.3K
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
——Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13
Aquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Virtus Bologna
——Virtus Bologna $1.1KAquila Basket Trento $5
Kosner Baskonia vs. Real Madrid
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid
——Real Madrid $1.1KKosner Baskonia $62
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3Over $950
SD Eibar vs. Cádiz CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $887Under $17
Amici Pallacanestro Udinese vs. Olimpia Milano
opposite sides · consensus Olimpia Milano
——Olimpia Milano $740Amici Pallacanestro Udinese $155
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Colts $272——Dolphins $531
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $85Pacers $507
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2Under $439
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——76ers $100Pacers $182
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $1.1M—Vikings $397—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $204K——Vikings $21K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $136K——Colts $17K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $37K——Cowboys $3.3K
CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27KYes $3.8K—
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus Türkiye
——France $10KFrance $11K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $620Seahawks $19K
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreeva
same side · consensus Mirra Andreeva
——Elina Svitolina $1.4KElina Svitolina $16K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
——Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——No $9.1KNo $629
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $125Suns $6.0K
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $583Under $4.1K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $171Under $3.7K
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
same side · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
——Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.1KNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $2.6K
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $8Over $3.3K
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.7KOver $1.1K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $1.9KPacers $220
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.8KNo $223
Will CD Eldense win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.3KYes $161
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $53Under $1.4K
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
same side · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $842Ole Miss $558