← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 47% (671–742, n=1413) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $529K | $400K | $890K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #14 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 58% (153 of 266 open) | 67% (67 of 100 open) | 63% (46 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 5% (won 100% of 23) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 34% (won 100% of 159) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 52% (won 100% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 9% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
34 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | Vikings $6.7K | Packers $15K |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $182 | Spurs $182 | Jazz $4.9K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $620 | Seahawks $20K | Seahawks $19K |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $159 | Mavericks $5.8K | Mavericks $555 |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | Suns $213 | Suns $4.5K | Suns $793 |
| Jaguars vs. Titans opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $24K | Titans $12K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $3.3K | Saints $26K | — |
| Cyprus vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.8K | — | Over $16K |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.9K | Over $7.6K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | 49ers $8.4K | — |
| Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $6.2K |
| Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $7.6K | — | Yes $85 |
| Spread: Bills (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Bills $6.3K | Jets $212 |
| Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3.8K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $31 | Under $4.1K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.8K | Under $1.7K |
| Will Granada CF win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.3K | — | No $19 |
| Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat opposite sides · consensus Adrien Gobat | — | Adrien Gobat $810 | — | Buvaysar Gadamauri $1.8K |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | — | Over $297 |
| Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu opposite sides · consensus Michael Vrbensky | — | Michael Vrbensky $1.8K | — | Vadym Ursu $74 |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | — | Lions $32 | Patriots $413 |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $75 | Mavericks $200 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | 76ers $19 | Pacers $120 |
| Will GFA Rumilly Vallières vs. AS Saint-Étienne end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $110 | — | No $15 |
| Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage opposite sides · consensus Nexus | — | FORZE Reload $4 | — | Nexus $19 |
| Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | — | Under $52K |
| Patriots vs. Lions same side · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $11K | Patriots $29K |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks same side · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $7.2K | Oregon Ducks $19K |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.4K | Under $22K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $7.9K | Vikings $14K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $2.5K | Browns $19K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $165 | — | Falcons $15K |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $10 | Under $12K |
| Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $432 | Under $11K |
| WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang | — | Mertens/Zhang $1.2K | — | Mertens/Zhang $9.3K |
| Rams vs. Cardinals same side · consensus Rams | — | — | Rams $5.4K | Rams $4.8K |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.4K | — | No $1.1K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $2.3K | Cowboys $3.3K |
| Spread: France (-2.5) same side · consensus Türkiye | — | France $154 | — | France $5.0K |
| Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $583 | — | Under $4.1K |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $170 | Pacers $4.2K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $489 | — | 76ers $3.2K |
| Helsinki: John Sperle vs Moez Echargui same side · consensus Moez Echargui | — | Moez Echargui $300 | — | Moez Echargui $2.6K |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5) same side · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers | — | — | Nebraska Cornhuskers $1.7K | Nebraska Cornhuskers $1.2K |
| Spread: Rockets (-9.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Rockets $356 | Rockets $2.4K | — |
| Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2.2K | — | Yes $8 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $2.0K | — |
| Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | No $194 |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $140 | Under $1.2K |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | Otto Virtanen $392 | — | Otto Virtanen $904 |