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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bettor4747fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)52% (16–15, n=31)53% (516–456, n=972)48% (600–648, n=1248)
Consensus PnL$11K$795K$362K$512K
Tracked asPM monthly #909PM monthly #19PM monthly #11PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position62% (118 of 189 open)52% (77 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 100% of 9)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 6)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBettor4747fantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $811Tulsa $40K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Pelicans $18KNuggets $20K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.4KOver $26K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $15KMavericks $11K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $9.1KTimberwolves $14K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
——Utah $231Arizona $21K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KOver $19K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
——Canadiens $14KAvalanche $4.0K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Bruins $70Wild $17K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $894Devils $16K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $867Under $16K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $12K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $11K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.6KOver $9.6K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $7.4KPistons $5.2K
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $149Under $11K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.1KOver $5.7K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $796Flyers $9.6K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.4KOver $2.7K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $9.4KMavericks $448
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $3.9KVirginia Tech $3.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $6.2KMavericks $781
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $6.7KMavericks $2
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.4KOver $3.0K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——Texas $5.7KLSU $24
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $2.0KTimberwolves $3.1K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
——Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
——North Carolina $2.1KLouisville $2.1K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.2KOver $3
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $45Under $3.3K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $718
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.8KOver $47
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $195
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $970
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——North Carolina $547Louisville $388
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Florida $19Kentucky $745
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $405Under $11
Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $287Over $6
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $199Heat $9
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $48KCavaliers $133K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $83KGrizzlies $33K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $32KUnder $21K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus UNLV
——New Mexico $365New Mexico $32K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $25KGrizzlies $291
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9.2KOver $15K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
——Texas $1.9KTexas $18K
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
——Air Force $213Air Force $14K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $170
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $6.0KHeat $5.9K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
same side · consensus Boise State
——Boise State $11KBoise State $895