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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)47% (692–767, n=1459)53% (532–472, n=1004)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$865K$635K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)63% (94 of 149 open)53% (58 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—0%5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204KVikings $21KPackers $38K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $122KJaguars $10KJaguars $80K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78K49ers $23K49ers $62K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $76KFalcons $22KChiefs $19K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $75KDolphins $39KColts $1.3K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272Dolphins $531Dolphins $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K—Bills $1.7KBills $7.8K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $1.2M—Saints $20
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1M—Packers $7.1K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942KFalcons $16K—
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $150K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $104K—Jaguars $20K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $84K—76ers $2.2K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $78K—76ers $3.1K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $71KFalcons $14—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28KUnder $9
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $25KUnder $2.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $21K76ers $24
Spread: France (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Türkiye
——France $14KTürkiye $55
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $11K—Packers $399
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $6.9KDolphins $2.7K—
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K—Saints $2.6K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Spread: Panthers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $5.2K—Saints $1.7K—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.8KUnder $123
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4.5KOver $2.2K
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.0KOver $907
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Bills $26Jets $5.2K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $4.8KCardinals $199
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $609
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $40Jaguars $3.8K—
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KOver $270
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $585Under $876
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $558Oklahoma $694
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $496—Packers $63
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $38KBills $122K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $132KColts $17K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $24KUnder $27K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37KCowboys $3.3K—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
——Steelers $19KSteelers $317
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $14KBrowns $157
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7.1KOver $937
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KUnder $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Saints
——Panthers $4.5KPanthers $1.1K
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4.4KUnder $284
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KOver $264
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $3.1K—Cowboys $383
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $2.9K—Bills $490—
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.8KOver $1.1K
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
——Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $276