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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpilyhokeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)100% (1–0, n=1)48% (600–648, n=1248)
Consensus PnL$856K$482K$19K$512K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #11PM monthly #784PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)53% (130 of 245 open)0% (0 of 3 open)54% (64 of 119 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 5% of 409)—6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 41% of 222)—36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 115)—50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 94% of 271)—8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188Flaznorpilyhokeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $50KHeat $566—Heat $6.2K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $66K——Grizzlies $33K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $266—Penguins $32K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $155—Mavericks $11K
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $206—Stars $9.3K
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
—Luis Gurule $244—Bilal Hasan $7.9K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.5K—Timberwolves $3.1K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $514—Nets $6.0K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434—Pistons $5.2K
Spread: Grizzlies (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $632—Nets $4.6K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $350—Nets $3.4K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1K—South Carolina $1.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412—Nets $2.0K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $549—Mavericks $781
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $404—Under $581
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54—Nets $912
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $332—Under $402
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $686—Mavericks $2
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $649—Over $2
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $347—Cavaliers $143
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $434—Timberwolves $11
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5—Nets $210
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132—Over $7
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $68—Under $45
Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $93—Over $8
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5—Under $3
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $260K——Avalanche $4.0K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.8K—Cavaliers $133K
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $713—Bulls $63K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.3K—Over $26K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23—Arizona $21K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.1K—Over $12K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9K—Over $8.7K
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
—Penguins $20—Penguins $11K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $6.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $6.0K—Cavaliers $106
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.6K—Over $413
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
same side · consensus Capitals
—Capitals $43—Capitals $3.3K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Over $185
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Over $233
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $803—Grizzlies $291
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $325—Mavericks $448
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $737—Under $7
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $661—Over $5
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $564—Nets $79
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Avalanche $4—Avalanche $612
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $608—Over $6
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $393—Heat $9
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $11