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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)48% (596–641, n=1237)81% (22–5, n=27)54% (452–389, n=841)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$561K$328K$322K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #18PM monthly #117PM monthly #267
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (84 of 144 open)no open consensus position55% (110 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $40—Grizzlies $63K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $35K—Blues $53
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $21K—Utah $14K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $21K—Over $7.7K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $832—Bulls $15K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $13K—Pelicans $2.8K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $15K—Bruins $4
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $11K—Arizona $2.2K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11K—Ducks $573
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $11K—Under $151
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.1K—Amanda Nunes $1.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $7.6K—Bulls $1.3K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $4.6K—Stanford $4.3K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—Louisville $1.3K—North Carolina $7.2K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $7.3K—Arkansas $869
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
—Bilal Hasan $7.9K—Luis Gurule $9
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $6.8K—UNLV $154
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.8K—Heat $749
Spread: Washington (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State
—Washington $4.7K—Michigan State $771
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flyers $4.9K—Blue Jackets $348
Spread: Washington (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State
—Washington $4.6K—Michigan State $414
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.7K—Under $295
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.9K—Over $401
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Charles Radtke
—Stephen Thompson $3.4K—Charles Radtke $298
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
—San Francisco Dons $3—Portland State Vikings $3.3K
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0K—Panthers $1.2K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881—Under $1.7K
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $1.1K—Kentucky $1.4K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.6K—North Dakota State $85
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Kentucky $1.1K—Florida $551
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $199—Ducks $1.1K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Boise State
—Boise State $887—Oregon State $366
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $20—Texas $244
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $30—Over $51
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $52K—Bulls $138K
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.7K—Stars $99K
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $33K—New Mexico $399
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $216—Grizzlies $29K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $13K—Nets $9.9K
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20K—Over $722
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $17K—Nuggets $350
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $17K—Texas $140
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $4.6K—Avalanche $11K
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 65.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.1K—Over $14K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15K—Over $521
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $5.9K—Heat $8.6K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $3.4K
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $13K—Air Force $157
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $10K—North Texas $2.2K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $8.3K—Arkansas $3.0K