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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)71% (2602–1070, n=3672)48% (596–641, n=1237)54% (452–389, n=841)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$485K$561K$322K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #267
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (120 of 246 open)58% (84 of 144 open)55% (110 of 199 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

60 on the same side, 65 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $16Stars $9.7KStars $99K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $7.9KNets $40Grizzlies $63K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Blues $6Panthers $35KBlues $53
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $24Arizona $21KUtah $14K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $112Grizzlies $216Grizzlies $29K
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.4KNuggets $17KNuggets $350
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $481Nets $13KNets $9.9K
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $2.6KTimberwolves $832Bulls $15K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $98Avalanche $4.6KAvalanche $11K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $11Wild $15KBruins $4
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $213Over $11KUnder $151
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.8KTimberwolves $7.6KBulls $1.3K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $204Nets $8.7KNets $220
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $759South Carolina $7.3KArkansas $869
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $462Pistons $5.8KHeat $749
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $104Flyers $4.9KBlue Jackets $348
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $187Over $4.7KUnder $295
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
—Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3.5KUAB Blazers $3UAB Blazers $689
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Panthers $9Blues $1.9KBlues $210
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $632Over $314
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $3Nets $176Nets $513
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $63Over $3Over $442
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $248Mavericks $4Mavericks $218
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $230Oilers $118Oilers $89
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $45Under $30Over $51
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $210Heat $5.9KHeat $8.6K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $1.4KNets $1Nets $11K
UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Chris Duncan
—Drew Dober $7Drew Dober $11KDrew Dober $155
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $43Maple Leafs $5.9KMaple Leafs $4.9K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49Under $5Under $2.3K
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
—Baylor $72Baylor $185Baylor $22
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $39Penguins $31K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $21KOver $7.7K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $13KPelicans $2.8K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.5K—Nets $11K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Utah $11KArizona $2.2K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $573
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $9.1KAmanda Nunes $1.1K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $4.6KStanford $4.3K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
——Louisville $1.3KNorth Carolina $7.2K
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
——Bilal Hasan $7.9KLuis Gurule $9
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $6.8KUNLV $154
Spread: Washington (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State
——Washington $4.7KMichigan State $771
Spread: Washington (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan State
——Washington $4.6KMichigan State $414
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.9KOver $401
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Charles Radtke
——Stephen Thompson $3.4KCharles Radtke $298
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $176—Over $3.5K
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
——San Francisco Dons $3Portland State Vikings $3.3K
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
——Blues $2.0KPanthers $1.2K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $881Under $1.7K