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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x33d069...d826c0FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)0% (0–1, n=1)71% (2602–1070, n=3672)48% (596–641, n=1237)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL-$2.0K$485K$561K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #460PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #117
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (120 of 246 open)58% (84 of 144 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x33d069...d826c0FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Blues $6Panthers $35K—
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
—Senators $39Penguins $31K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.4KNuggets $17K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $481Nets $13K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $213Over $11K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.8KTimberwolves $7.6K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $16Stars $9.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $204Nets $8.7K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $759South Carolina $7.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $462Pistons $5.8K—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Blue Jackets $104Flyers $4.9K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $98Avalanche $4.6K—
UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
—Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3.5KUAB Blazers $3—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $188Mavericks $1.7K—
Panthers vs. Blues
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Panthers $9Blues $1.9K—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $53Penn Quakers $1.2K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $20Under $715—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $110Under $580—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $555Over $104—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9Over $632—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $202Over $267—
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $230Oilers $118—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $112Grizzlies $216—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $248Mavericks $4—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $3Nets $176—
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $99Over $2—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $63Over $3—
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $12Nuggets $3—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $24Arizona $21K—
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siniakova/Townsend
same side · consensus Siniakova/Townsend
—Siniakova/Townsend $13KSiniakova/Townsend $7.0K—
Wild vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Wild
—Wild $11Wild $15K—
Senators vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Senators
—Penguins $327Penguins $11K—
UFC 334: Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Chris Duncan
—Drew Dober $7Drew Dober $11K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KOver $7.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $7.9KNets $40—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $210Heat $5.9K—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
same side · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $43Maple Leafs $5.9K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $418Mavericks $4.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $187Over $4.7K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $2.6KTimberwolves $832—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.8KOver $281—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4KUnder $933—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $1.4KNets $1—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19Under $780—
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $148Nuggets $618—
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
—Baylor $72Baylor $185—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $203Under $10—
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $159Nuggets $7—
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cincinnati Bearcats
—Dayton Flyers $88Dayton Flyers $5—
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Nuggets $67Nuggets $19—