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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlyuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)48% (617–662, n=1279)53% (472–417, n=889)58% (11–8, n=19)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$549K$399K$769K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #129was PM monthly #70was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus59% (61 of 104 open)51% (67 of 131 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)58% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)33% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlyuyuvkxDD
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $982Bulls $32K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $28KUnder $1.2K——
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $10KHeat $18K——
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $5.0K——
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
Utah $11KArizona $2.1K——
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $11KDucks $573——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.8KUnder $140——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $1Heat $7.5K——
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K——
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
Wyoming $100UTEP $6.9K——
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
New Mexico $5.5KUNLV $224——
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.2KHeat $1.3K——
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
Louisville $139North Carolina $4.2K——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
South Carolina $1.7KArkansas $1.8K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $409Bulls $1.8K——
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
Purdue $2Iowa $1.9K——
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
Islanders $291Ducks $1.3K——
Louisville vs. North Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
Louisville $214North Carolina $79——
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
LSU $30Texas $145——
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Timberwolves $11Bulls $137——
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $13KStars $137K——
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $38KGrizzlies $76K——
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $25KUtah $17K——
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Kevin Holland
Kevin Holland $30KKevin Holland $11K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $348Grizzlies $36K——
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $8.9KHeat $14K——
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $16KUnder $5.6K——
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $20KOver $803——
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
San Jose State $17KSan Jose State $552——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $17KOver $614——
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
Texas $16KTexas $134——
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
New Mexico $13KNew Mexico $162——
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $4.7KNets $6.6K——
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $7.3KArkansas $2.5K——
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
North Texas $8.5KNorth Texas $1.1K——
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $6.1KOver $1.5K——
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $865Texas Tech $6.7K——
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $5.3KNets $134——
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $4.4KOver $549——
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos $1.4KNew Mexico Lobos $1.3K——
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $174Over $1.7K——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $525Under $712——
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2Under $986——
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $11Heat $571——
Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $347Under $144——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $339Over $121——
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7Over $345——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $63Under $288——
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
Nets $43Nets $105——