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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lasercat397777 | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (455–392, n=847) |
| Consensus PnL | $512K | $67K | $328K | $324K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #415 | PM monthly #116 | PM monthly #287 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (78 of 149 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 55% (99 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | — | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 20) | — | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 100% of 128) | — | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 175) | — | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 28) | — | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
38 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lasercat397777 | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $133K | — | — | Mavericks $48 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $881 | — | — | Under $45K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $14K | — | — | Bulls $31K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $21K | — | — | Utah $14K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $21K | — | — | Over $7.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $26K | — | — | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $25K | — | — | Blues $53 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $19K | — | — | Under $125 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $14K | — | — | Pelicans $1.7K |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | Kayla Harrison $9.3K | — | — | Amanda Nunes $5.0K |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Utah $11K | — | — | Arizona $2.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Under $63 |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Islanders $11K | — | — | Ducks $573 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $7.8K | — | — | UNLV $227 |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan | Bilal Hasan $7.9K | — | — | Luis Gurule $8 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | Louisville $2.1K | — | — | North Carolina $5.7K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $3.1K | — | — | Stanford $4.3K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $5.2K | — | — | Heat $915 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5.7K | — | — | Under $290 |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | Flyers $5.1K | — | — | Blue Jackets $320 |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $2 | — | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $3.1K | — | — | Bulls $1.4K |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | Blues $2.0K | — | — | Panthers $1.7K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $3.3K | — | — | Over $289 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $2.0K | — | — | Arkansas $1.5K |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | — | Under $2.1K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | Boise State $895 | — | — | Oregon State $999 |
| Purdue vs. Iowa opposite sides · consensus Iowa | Purdue $3 | — | — | Iowa $1.8K |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Islanders $195 | — | — | Ducks $1.1K |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Kentucky $745 | — | — | Florida $551 |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | LSU $24 | — | — | Texas $230 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $87 | — | — | Over $53 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Timberwolves $11 | — | — | Bulls $66 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $63K | — | — | Bulls $197K |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $9.3K | — | — | Stars $96K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $33K | — | — | Grizzlies $70K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $291 | — | — | Grizzlies $33K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $32K | — | — | New Mexico $281 |
| Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $20K | — | — | Over $482 |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $16K | — | — | Under $4.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $20K | — | — | Nuggets $504 |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $18K | — | — | Texas $98 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $5.9K | — | — | Heat $11K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $15K | — | — | Over $521 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $11K | — | — | Arkansas $4.1K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Avalanche | Avalanche $4.0K | — | — | Avalanche $9.9K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | Air Force $14K | — | — | Air Force $167 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA same side · consensus North Texas | North Texas $10K | — | — | North Texas $2.5K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $6.0K | — | — | Nets $5.8K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.6K | — | — | Over $1.6K |