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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 | paintscrel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (558–608, n=1166) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 55% (433–356, n=789) | 0% (0–3, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | $515K | $328K | $365K | -$4.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #137 | was PM monthly #954 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (81 of 135 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (105 of 184 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 | paintscrel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $4.3K | — | Washington $82K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $18K | — | Bulls $17K | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $22K | — | Under $118 | — |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $19K | — | Blues $199 | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Kentucky $8.8K | — | Florida $7.2K | — |
| UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita | Bia Mesquita $13K | — | Macy Chiasson $138 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Under $434 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $10K | — | Bruins $6 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $9.0K | — | Nuggets $565 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $4.6K | — | Stanford $4.4K | — |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $60 | — | Yes $7.3K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $5.7K | — | Heat $782 | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | USC $4.5K | — | Indiana $1.1K | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Oilers | Maple Leafs $5.5K | — | Oilers $20 | — |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | Flyers $4.9K | — | Blue Jackets $348 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | Bilibili Gaming $174 | — | — | Gen.G $3.9K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Avalanche $2.4K | — | Canadiens $1.6K | — |
| UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa | Melquizael Costa $3.8K | — | Jared Gordon $133 | — |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.5K | — | Over $1 | — |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.0K | — | Yes $34 | — |
| Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $584 | — | Under $2.4K | — |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $8 | — | Over $2.8K | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | Kayla Harrison $2.4K | — | Amanda Nunes $376 | — |
| Spread: Panthers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Blues | Blues $2.0K | — | Panthers $622 | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | Florida $1.1K | — | Kentucky $893 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $881 | — | Under $931 | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | Boise State $620 | — | Oregon State $934 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $692 | — | Over $794 | — |
| UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson | Stephen Thompson $574 | — | Charles Radtke $291 | — |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $587 | — | Middle Tennessee $7 | — |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Mississippi State $17 | — | Auburn $56 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $185 | — | Grizzlies $31K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) same side · consensus Indiana | USC $28K | — | USC $3 | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $25K | — | Georgia State $843 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $9.6K | — | Stars $15K | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) same side · consensus San Jose State | San Jose State $16K | — | San Jose State $877 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $15K | — | Over $521 | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $4.7K | — | Heat $3.2K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $6.7K | — | Arkansas $740 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.6K | — | Over $784 | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | Under $3.5K | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues same side · consensus Blues | Blues $4.4K | — | Blues $514 | — |
| UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims) same side · consensus Donte Johnson | Cesar Almeida $718 | — | Cesar Almeida $3.6K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $741 | — | Pelicans $3.0K | — |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | Kevin Holland $1.4K | — | Kevin Holland $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $203 | — | Georgia State $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus USC | Indiana $1.1K | — | Indiana $668 | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Gen.G $1.1K | — | — | Gen.G $3 |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Gen.G $990 | — | Gen.G $133 | — |