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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 | Tsamam | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $512K | $328K | $324K | $4.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #811 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (64 of 121 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 52% (82 of 159 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | nigiri99 | Tsamam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $133K | Cavaliers $1.2K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $14K | — | Bulls $31K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $21K | — | Utah $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $26K | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $19K | — | Under $125 | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | Kayla Harrison $9.3K | — | Amanda Nunes $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Utah $11K | — | Arizona $2.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | Under $63 | — |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Islanders $11K | — | Ducks $573 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $7.8K | — | UNLV $227 | — |
| UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan | Bilal Hasan $7.9K | — | Luis Gurule $8 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $3.1K | — | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | Louisville $1.6K | — | North Carolina $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $5.2K | — | Heat $915 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5.6K | — | Under $290 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $2 | — | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $3.1K | — | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | South Carolina $1.7K | — | Arkansas $1.5K | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.6K | — | North Dakota State $370 | — |
| Purdue vs. Iowa opposite sides · consensus Iowa | Purdue $3 | — | Iowa $1.8K | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Islanders $195 | — | Ducks $1.1K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | LSU $24 | — | Texas $230 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $87 | — | Over $53 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Timberwolves $11 | — | Bulls $66 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $63K | — | Bulls $197K | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $9.3K | — | Stars $96K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $33K | — | Grizzlies $70K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $291 | — | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $32K | — | New Mexico $281 | — |
| Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $20K | — | Over $482 | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $16K | — | Under $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $7.5K | — | Heat $11K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $18K | — | Texas $98 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $15K | — | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) same side · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $11K | — | Arkansas $4.1K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens same side · consensus Avalanche | Avalanche $4.0K | — | Avalanche $9.9K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | Air Force $14K | — | Air Force $167 | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA same side · consensus North Texas | North Texas $10K | — | North Texas $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $6.0K | — | Nets $5.8K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.6K | — | Over $1.6K | — |
| UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card) same side · consensus Uroš Medic | Kevin Holland $1.9K | — | Kevin Holland $5.7K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $3.2K | — | Virginia Tech $1.3K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3.0K | — | Over $942 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $3.4K | — | Nets $80 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $970 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | Over $1.9K | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $170 | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5 | — | Under $1.2K | — |