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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)48% (617–662, n=1279)53% (472–417, n=889)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$886K$549K$399K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #18PM monthly #129was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (60 of 104 open)50% (68 of 135 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $560Bulls $32K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28KUnder $1.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25KUnder $37—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $16KUnder $26—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $5.0K—
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $11KArizona $2.1K—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11KDucks $573—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.7KUnder $140—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $1Heat $7.5K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K—
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $100UTEP $6.9K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $5.5KUNLV $224—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $3.2KHeat $1.3K—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—Louisville $170North Carolina $4.2K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $1.7KArkansas $1.8K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $409Bulls $1.8K—
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
—Purdue $2Iowa $1.9K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $291Ducks $1.3K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $30Texas $145—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $11Bulls $137—
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $13KStars $137K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $38KGrizzlies $76K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $25KUtah $17K—
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Kevin Holland
—Kevin Holland $30KKevin Holland $11K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $348Grizzlies $36K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $8.9KHeat $14K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $16KUnder $5.6K—
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20KOver $803—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $17KSan Jose State $552—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $17KOver $614—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $16KTexas $134—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $13KNew Mexico $162—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $4.7KNets $6.6K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $7.3KArkansas $2.5K—
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $8.5KNorth Texas $1.2K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $6.1KOver $1.5K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $865Texas Tech $6.3K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $10Over $5.7K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $5.3KNets $134—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KOver $549—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus New Mexico Lobos
—New Mexico Lobos $898New Mexico Lobos $1.3K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $174Over $1.7K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $525Under $712—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2Under $986—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $11Heat $571—
Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $347Under $144—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $339Over $121—
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7Over $345—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $51Under $288—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $49Nets $105—