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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardshibaijiaoyiyuan
Record (consensus markets)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)45% (14–17, n=31)
Consensus PnL$795K$482K$362K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #10PM monthly #11PM monthly #905
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (148 of 270 open)63% (114 of 180 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardshibaijiaoyiyuan
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $6.7KBulls $9.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $2.2KCavaliers $13K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.3KUnder $8.4K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2.4KNets $9.1K—
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $22Cavaliers $11K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $325Cavaliers $9.4K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.1KUnder $4.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $931Under $5.1K—
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $9Pelicans $5.4K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $549—
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $390Nuggets $586—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Flyers $13Blue Jackets $796—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $239Over $405—
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1Under $591—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Pistons $199—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $29Over $445—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11Under $452—
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $4Northwestern State Demons $340—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Utah $231—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $241—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $21North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $104Under $37—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $16Bruins $70—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $15—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $25—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $4Pistons $9—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $5Nets $8—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $13KCavaliers $48K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $11KPelicans $18K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $872Grizzlies $25K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $155Cavaliers $15K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $31Under $14K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $2.5KCavaliers $8.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $1.2KBulls $8.8K—
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $914Cavaliers $8.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Heat $7.4K—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $686Cavaliers $6.7K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $551Cavaliers $6.2K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $4.5KBulls $2.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $293Heat $6.0K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $4.9K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $221Over $4.7K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $1.2K—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $143Under $4.2K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $238Under $2.9K—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $255Under $2.8K—
Red Wings vs. Lightning
same side · consensus Lightning
—Red Wings $154Red Wings $2.3K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.4KCavaliers $311—