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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| etthhhh | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 71% (2657–1095, n=3752) | 52% (527–481, n=1008) | 53% (472–417, n=889) |
| Consensus PnL | $15K | $502K | $370K | $399K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #779 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #129 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 55% (100 of 183 open) | 65% (92 of 142 open) | 50% (68 of 135 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
46 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | etthhhh | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.7K | Nets $40K | Nets $1.2K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $234 | Utah $17K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $211 | Under $14K | Over $2.4K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5.0K | Under $5.6K | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $423 | Pistons $2.3K | Heat $7.5K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | Under $1.9K | Under $26 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | Under $2.6K | Under $140 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | Over $936 | Over $121 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $657 | Under $922 | Under $37 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $710 | Pistons $157 | Heat $571 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $20 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277 | Montana Grizzlies $155 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $75 | Nets $2 | Nets $105 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $8.2K | Grizzlies $88K | Grizzlies $76K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $1.1K | Grizzlies $28K | Grizzlies $36K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $6.5K | Bulls $13K | Bulls $32K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $2.2K | Heat $8.4K | Heat $14K |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | Over $5.1K | Over $12K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $1.0K | Heat $10K | Heat $1.3K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | — | Texas Tech $738 | Texas Tech $2.8K | Texas Tech $6.3K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.6K | Bulls $2.7K | Bulls $1.8K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $931 | Under $3.7K | Under $2.4K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | — | Sabres $188 | — | Stars $137K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.5K | Over $5.7K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.7K | Over $6.2K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $174 | Chiefs $8.8K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Under $5.6K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.7K | Under $2.9K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $730 | — | Nets $6.6K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.9K | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $2.5K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | — | Stanford $4.6K | Virginia Tech $983 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Stanford $4.3K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $365 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.9K | — | Nets $984 |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.3K | Over $549 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus UNLV | — | — | New Mexico $2.3K | UNLV $554 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $679 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Over $273 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $853 | — | Under $986 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $616 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $70 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | — | Virginia Tech $531 | Stanford $877 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.2K | Under $214 | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $572 | Under $712 |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | — | Timberwolves $4 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $879 | Over $352 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | — | New Mexico $596 | UNLV $224 |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | — | LSU $219 | Texas $584 |