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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)48% (558–608, n=1166)81% (22–5, n=27)55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL$23K$515K$328K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #18PM monthly #118PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)60% (81 of 134 open)no open consensus position56% (104 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $4.3K—Washington $80K
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $18K—Bulls $17K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22K—Under $118
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $19K—Blues $199
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Kentucky $8.8K—Florida $7.0K
UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita
—Bia Mesquita $13K—Macy Chiasson $138
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Under $434
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $10K—Bruins $6
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $9.0K—Nuggets $565
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $4.6K—Stanford $4.4K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $60—Yes $7.3K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7K—Heat $782
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $4.5K—Indiana $1.1K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5K—Oilers $20
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flyers $4.9K—Blue Jackets $348
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.4K—Canadiens $1.6K
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
—Melquizael Costa $3.8K—Jared Gordon $133
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.5K—Over $1
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $34
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $584—Under $2.4K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8—Over $2.8K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $2.4K—Amanda Nunes $376
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0K—Panthers $622
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $1.1K—Kentucky $925
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $1.8K—Jets $8
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881—Under $931
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $620—Oregon State $934
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $692—Over $794
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson
—Stephen Thompson $574—Charles Radtke $291
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $587—Middle Tennessee $7
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $17—Auburn $56
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $185—Grizzlies $31K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $28K—USC $3
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $25K—Georgia State $843
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.6K—Stars $15K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $16K—San Jose State $877
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15K—Over $521
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
Gen.G $10K——Gen.G $544
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $6.4K—Virginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $4.7K—Heat $3.2K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $6.7K—Arkansas $740
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.6K—Over $784
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $3.5K
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
—Blues $4.4K—Blues $514
UFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Donte Johnson
—Cesar Almeida $718—Cesar Almeida $3.6K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $741—Pelicans $3.0K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $1.4K—Kevin Holland $1.7K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $203—Georgia State $1.7K
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus USC
—Indiana $1.1K—Indiana $668
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $990—Gen.G $133