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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)48% (446–481, n=927)
Consensus PnL—$410K$398K$521K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (108 of 214 open)69% (117 of 170 open)52% (42 of 81 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

45 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $505Under $9.8KOver $19K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $186Trail Blazers $376Kings $22K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608Spurs $15KWarriors $2
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Predators $3.6KGolden Knights $11K
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.1KThunder $12KClippers $351
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KSpurs $3.2KWarriors $241
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $789Under $6.0KOver $2
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $71Over $5.4K
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $383Clippers $40Clippers $583
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $776Stanford Cardinal $2Stanford Cardinal $19
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $3UIC Flames $2
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $8.7KUnder $51K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $25KSpurs $24K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5KRangers $39K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9KJazz $8.7KJazz $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $5.5KSpurs $746
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $2.6KOver $5
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7KJazz $10
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $540Clippers $1.7KClippers $893
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $498Kings $44Kings $16
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $220Clippers $185Clippers $25
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4Warriors $173Warriors $77
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $499Trail Blazers $29K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $22KClippers $39
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
——Illinois $434UCLA $21K
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $71Over $3.2K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.3K—Under $22
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $889Arizona Wildcats $1.3K—
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $458—Rockets $1.4K
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $810Under $847
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—August Holmgren $995—Sebastian Gorzny $630
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $1.5K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $3
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Rockets $12Jazz $995
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $391Under $589
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
—Alabama Crimson Tide $703—Seton Hall Pirates $210
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $801—Under $21
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
—Auburn Tigers $552Arizona Wildcats $156—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5Under $499—
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336—
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
——Arizona Wildcats $429Auburn Tigers $20
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $119Trail Blazers $214
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $309Over $10—
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maryland Terrapins
——Maryland Terrapins $42Virginia Cavaliers $190
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $182Jazz $9—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $106Trail Blazers $79—
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 140.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9Under $113—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $68—Trail Blazers $20
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $51—Jazz $6
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $4—