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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | googleplay | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (345–290, n=635) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $423K | $403K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 55% (128 of 232 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 54% (67 of 124 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 0% | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 0% | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | googleplay | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $4.5K | Rockets $50K | Rockets $191 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $358 | — | Clippers $9.8K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $142 | — | Over $3.2K |
| Will Guatemala vs. Canada end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.8K | — | Yes $7 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | — | Georgia Southern $2.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $802 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $118 | — | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $460 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $366 |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | — | Canucks $29 |
| Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $69 | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.3K | — | Thunder $46 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $602 | — | Over $305 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $160 | — | Kings $627 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $290 | — | Yes $362 |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $426 | — | Clippers $12 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | — | Golden Knights $79 |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | — | Jazz $321 | — | Rockets $24 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $124 | — | Over $182 |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $17 | — | Spurs $259 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $156 | — | Thunder $9 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $94 | — | Over $57 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $79 | — | Over $11 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Under $48 |
| Spread: Rockets (-37.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $6 | — | Jazz $45 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | — | Under $13 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-11-13? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $30K | — | Yes $28K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $7.0K | — | Spurs $8.3K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | — | Spurs $9.6K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4.0K | — | Over $876 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $3.5K |
| Spread: Jazz (-2.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $3.5K | — | Rockets $32 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | — | Under $1.8K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.0K | — | Spurs $2.1K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers same side · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $1.7K | — | Clippers $488 |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $391 | — | Jazz $1.7K |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.2K | — | Spurs $655 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | — | Jazz $51 |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $221 | — | Rangers $1.2K |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $20 | — | Colorado $1.0K |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $661 | — | Over $207 |
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $782 | — | Yes $64 |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $86 | — | Predators $458 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $2 | — | Kings $67 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $15 | — | Under $36 |