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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
applepersonFlaznorpgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)48% (446–481, n=927)
Consensus PnL$89$410K$423K$521K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992PM monthly #14PM monthly #20PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)55% (128 of 234 open)0% (0 of 1 open)56% (48 of 85 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)0%6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢0%21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)0%7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketapplepersonFlaznorpgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.5KRockets $50K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Under $19K
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333—Golden Knights $11K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2K—Warriors $241
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $681—Over $6.4K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $451—Over $2.1K
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $665—Rockets $1.4K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $659—Under $1.3K
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $245—Over $996
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
—Alabama Crimson Tide $703—Seton Hall Pirates $210
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $793—Over $2
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608—Warriors $2
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328—UIC Flames $2
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $94—Over $18
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $43—Trail Blazers $18
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6—Under $23
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $51K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5K—Rangers $39K
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $221—Rangers $35K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1K—Spurs $24K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $108—Kings $22K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505—Over $19K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9K—Under $2.3K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9K—Jazz $1.0K
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.3K—Jazz $368
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Over $5
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.7K—Clippers $285
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.7K—Jazz $10
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Over $499
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $590—Clippers $959
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
same side · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—Sebastian Gorzny $782—Sebastian Gorzny $655
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560—Spurs $746
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $393—Jazz $823
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.2K—Clippers $17
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $933—Under $22
W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson
same side · consensus Heather Watson
—Kanon Sawashiro $600—Kanon Sawashiro $57
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $595—Jazz $59
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $25—Over $415
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $388—Kings $16
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $220—Clippers $25
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $124—Warriors $120
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
same side · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $214—UNLV Runnin' Rebels $7
Spread: Spurs (-28.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Spurs $138—Spurs $19
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $133—Under $4
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $86—Predators $3
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4—Warriors $77
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $58—Under $3
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $55—Clippers $5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $20—Kings $2