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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | yuyuvkxDD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (527–481, n=1008) | 53% (472–417, n=889) | 58% (11–8, n=19) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | $370K | $399K | $769K | -$2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #129 | was PM monthly #70 | was PM monthly #418 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (89 of 136 open) | 51% (67 of 131 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | 92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | 33% (won 100% of 4) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
39 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | yuyuvkxDD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $2.3K | Heat $7.5K | — | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.4K | Under $5.6K | — | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.7K | Under $2.9K | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.9K | Over $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $2.5K | — | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Stanford $4.6K | Virginia Tech $983 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Stanford $4.3K | — | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.4K | Under $365 | — | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | Over $549 | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $2.3K | UNLV $554 | — | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $679 | — | — |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | Over $273 | — | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $531 | Stanford $877 | — | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $712 | — | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $596 | UNLV $224 | — | — |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $219 | Texas $584 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $157 | Heat $571 | — | — |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus San Jose State | Air Force $5 | San Jose State $552 | — | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277 | Montana Grizzlies $155 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $88K | Grizzlies $76K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $28K | Grizzlies $36K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $13K | Bulls $32K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $40K | Nets $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $8.4K | Heat $14K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.1K | Over $12K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Utah | Utah $234 | Utah $17K | — | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) same side · consensus Lions | Patriots $6.1K | Patriots $6.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $10K | Heat $1.3K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $11K | Over $614 | — | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $579 | Under $11K | — | — |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Flames $3.6K | Flames $6.2K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $2.8K | Texas Tech $6.7K | — | — |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.1K | Under $4.8K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.6K | Under $1.2K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.7K | Under $2.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) same side · consensus Louisville | North Carolina $1.6K | North Carolina $4.2K | — | — |
| Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $139 | Over $5.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.7K | Bulls $1.8K | — | — |
| UNLV vs. New Mexico same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $3.4K | New Mexico $580 | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) same side · consensus Texas | Texas $3.6K | Texas $145 | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.4K | Browns $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Iowa (-17.5) same side · consensus Purdue | Iowa $83 | Iowa $3.2K | — | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks same side · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Ducks $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Iowa (-16.5) same side · consensus Iowa | Iowa $2.7K | Iowa $448 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Under $140 | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.8K | Texas $134 | — | — |