← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | zb8zb9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $512K | $324K | $0 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #287 | PM monthly #849 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (117 of 188 open) | 52% (78 of 149 open) | 55% (99 of 181 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
55 on the same side, 81 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | zb8zb9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $48K | Cavaliers $133K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $32K | Under $21K | Over $7.2K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $9.1K | Timberwolves $14K | Bulls $31K | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $524 | Over $881 | Under $45K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $18K | Nuggets $20K | Nuggets $504 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.4K | Over $26K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Utah $231 | Arizona $21K | Utah $14K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Canadiens $14K | Avalanche $4.0K | Avalanche $9.9K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $867 | Under $16K | Under $4.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | Over $19K | Under $125 | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $11K | Arkansas $4.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.6K | Over $12K | Under $63 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.6K | Over $9.6K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $7.4K | Pistons $5.2K | Heat $915 | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | Boise State $11K | Boise State $895 | Oregon State $999 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.1K | Over $5.7K | Under $290 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.4K | Over $2.7K | Over $316 | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | North Carolina $2.1K | Louisville $2.1K | North Carolina $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $4.0K | Pistons $2 | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $850 | New Mexico $7.8K | UNLV $227 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Virginia Tech $3.1K | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $3.2K | Virginia Tech $1.3K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | Over $3.0K | Over $942 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $6.7K | Mavericks $2 | Mavericks $63 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.0K | Timberwolves $3.1K | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.2K | Over $3 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $5.7K | LSU $24 | Texas $230 | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $45 | Under $3.3K | Over $289 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | Over $47 | Over $424 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $195 | Ducks $1.1K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $970 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $19 | Kentucky $745 | Florida $551 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $199 | Heat $9 | Heat $363 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $83K | Grizzlies $33K | Grizzlies $70K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $291 | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $365 | New Mexico $32K | New Mexico $281 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $6.0K | Heat $5.9K | Heat $11K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.9K | Texas $18K | Texas $98 | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $170 | Over $1.7K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | Air Force $213 | Air Force $14K | Air Force $167 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | Maple Leafs $1.9K | Maple Leafs $3.5K | Maple Leafs $2.6K | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | Hawai'i $240 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $910 | Under $9 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | Over $447 | Over $160 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $432 | Under $5 | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $8 | Nets $108 | Nets $412 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $811 | Tulsa $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $25K | Blues $53 | — |