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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lasercat397777 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 50% (1–1, n=2) | 54% (455–392, n=847) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $512K | $67K | $324K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #415 | PM monthly #287 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (117 of 188 open) | 52% (78 of 149 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (99 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | — | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | — | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | — | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | — | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | — | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
55 on the same side, 81 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lasercat397777 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $48K | Cavaliers $133K | — | Mavericks $48 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $32K | Under $21K | — | Over $7.2K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $9.1K | Timberwolves $14K | — | Bulls $31K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $524 | Over $881 | — | Under $45K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $18K | Nuggets $20K | — | Nuggets $504 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.4K | Over $26K | — | Under $1.7K |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Utah $231 | Arizona $21K | — | Utah $14K |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Canadiens $14K | Avalanche $4.0K | — | Avalanche $9.9K |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $867 | Under $16K | — | Under $4.2K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | Over $19K | — | Under $125 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $11K | — | Arkansas $4.1K |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.6K | Over $12K | — | Under $63 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.6K | Over $9.6K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $7.4K | Pistons $5.2K | — | Heat $915 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | Boise State $11K | Boise State $895 | — | Oregon State $999 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.1K | Over $5.7K | — | Under $290 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7.4K | Over $2.7K | — | Over $316 |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | North Carolina $2.1K | Louisville $2.1K | — | North Carolina $5.7K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $4.0K | Pistons $2 | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $850 | New Mexico $7.8K | — | UNLV $227 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Virginia Tech $3.1K | — | Stanford $4.3K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $3.2K | — | Virginia Tech $1.3K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | Over $3.0K | — | Over $942 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $6.7K | Mavericks $2 | — | Mavericks $63 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.0K | Timberwolves $3.1K | — | Bulls $1.4K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.2K | Over $3 | — | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $5.7K | LSU $24 | — | Texas $230 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $45 | Under $3.3K | — | Over $289 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.8K | Over $47 | — | Over $424 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $195 | — | Ducks $1.1K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $970 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $19 | Kentucky $745 | — | Florida $551 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $199 | Heat $9 | — | Heat $363 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $83K | Grizzlies $33K | — | Grizzlies $70K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $291 | — | Grizzlies $33K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $365 | New Mexico $32K | — | New Mexico $281 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — | Over $521 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $6.0K | Heat $5.9K | — | Heat $11K |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.9K | Texas $18K | — | Texas $98 |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $170 | — | Over $1.7K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | Air Force $213 | Air Force $14K | — | Air Force $167 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Oilers | Maple Leafs $1.9K | Maple Leafs $3.5K | — | Maple Leafs $2.6K |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) same side · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | — | Hawai'i $240 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $910 | Under $9 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | Over $447 | — | Over $160 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $432 | Under $5 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $8 | Nets $108 | — | Nets $412 |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $811 | Tulsa $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $25K | — | Blues $53 |