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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)48% (617–662, n=1279)53% (472–417, n=889)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$502K$549K$399K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #129was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus54% (101 of 186 open)59% (61 of 104 open)51% (68 of 134 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $188Stars $13KStars $137K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Utah $25KUtah $17K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $6.5KTimberwolves $1.0KBulls $32K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.5KOver $28KUnder $1.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $657Over $25KUnder $37—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9KOver $16KUnder $26—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $730Nets $4.7KNets $6.6K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.1KOver $7.7KUnder $140—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $423Pistons $1Heat $7.5K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.6KTimberwolves $409Bulls $1.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $409Nets $5.3KNets $134—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
Arkansas $2.2KSouth Carolina $1.7KArkansas $1.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Heat $1.0KPistons $3.2KHeat $1.3K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $853Under $2Under $986—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0KOver $339Over $121—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $76Nets $43Nets $105—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $38KGrizzlies $76K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $348Grizzlies $36K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $2.2KHeat $8.9KHeat $14K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $865Texas Tech $6.7K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $717Heat $11Heat $571—
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $5.0K—
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Utah $11KArizona $2.1K—
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $11KDucks $573—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K—
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $100UTEP $6.9K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $5.5KUNLV $224—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—Louisville $170North Carolina $4.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2.8K—Nets $984—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.7K—Nets $1.2K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $564——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $205—Over $2.4K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $108——
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
—Purdue $2Iowa $1.9K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $291Ducks $1.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $443Nets $900——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K—Over $70—
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.2K—Timberwolves $4—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $512—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $669Over $9——
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $339Under $258——
Louisville vs. North Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—Louisville $214North Carolina $79—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Kings $44—Flames $156—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—LSU $30Texas $145—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $11Bulls $137—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $125Under $2——
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $37——
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2—Over $85—
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
Utah $50—Sharks $22—
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $34—Pistons $17—