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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (3024–1268, n=4292) | 47% (705–782, n=1487) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $518K | $825K | $643K | -$1.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (176 of 297 open) | 60% (54 of 90 open) | 59% (58 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $16 | 49ers $183K | 49ers $103K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $4.8K | Mavericks $1.1K | Celtics $27K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $23K | Over $10K | Over $339 | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5 | Over $22K | Over $161 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $435 | Knicks $8.6K | Raptors $12K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $717 | Over $12K | Over $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Croatia | Czechia $5.7K | Czechia $8.3K | Croatia $132 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $11 | Over $3.9K | Under $3.1K | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | No $3.3K | Yes $1 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $82 | Lakers $5.7K | Lakers $567 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $366 | Jazz $5.3K | Jazz $64 | — |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | No $850 | Yes $5 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | Under $841 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $141 | Under $590 | Under $670 | — |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | Yes $129K | Yes $4.0K | Yes $12K | — |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $31K | Yes $3.0K | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $1.8K | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | Team Spirit $3 | Team Spirit $916 | Team Spirit $981 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $298 | Under $6 | Under $529 | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $149K | — |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $34K | — | Yes $6.0K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | — | Over $16K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $22K | Under $2.8K | — | — |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | Yes $19K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10K | — | Under $14 | — |
| Spread: France (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Türkiye | — | France $9.6K | Türkiye $31 | — |
| Will Spain vs. England end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7.3K | No $1.9K | — | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | Under $7 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Rockets $138 | Wizards $8.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $2 | Lakers $7.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $41 | Seahawks $7.3K | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.6K | Over $692 | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4.7K | Over $2.2K | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $798 | — | Over $5.0K | — |
| Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.5K | Yes $47 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $4 | — | Raptors $5.4K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $3.3K | 49ers $1.6K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | Over $2.1K | — |
| Spread: England (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Spain | Spain $3.8K | — | England $17 | — |
| Champaign: David Bakonyi vs Axel Nefve opposite sides · consensus Axel Nefve | Axel Nefve $907 | David Bakonyi $1.6K | — | — |
| High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens opposite sides · consensus High Point Panthers | High Point Panthers $1.7K | Saint Louis Billikens $543 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Bucks $165 | Hawks $2.0K | — | — |
| Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers opposite sides · consensus Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons $2.1K | Eastern Illinois Panthers $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $140 | — | Raptors $1.6K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $22 | Cowboys $1.7K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $809 | Over $652 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $145 | — | Celtics $1.2K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $45 | — |
| Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket | Universo Treviso Basket $1.1K | Scafati Basket $13 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $898 | — | Celtics $1 | — |