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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNdjdnrru33nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)48% (558–608, n=1166)no settled market55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL$501K$515K$0$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #18PM monthly #783PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus48% (84 of 175 open)61% (82 of 134 open)100% (1 of 1 open)58% (105 of 182 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)—13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)—24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)—43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)—20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNdjdnrru33nigiri99
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $3.1KKentucky $8.8K—Florida $7.2K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32No $60—Yes $7.3K
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $3.0K—Yes $34
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Providence Friars $136Colorado Buffaloes $3—Colorado Buffaloes $492
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
1win $101win $845—1win $107
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $3.2K—Washington $91K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $50Mavericks $38K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $18K—Bulls $17K
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $25K—Blues $199
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $309Indiana $22K——
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22K—Under $118
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $310——Nets $21K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $1.5K——Nets $18K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $12K—Under $434
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $155Nets $11K——
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $10K—Bruins $6
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $9.0K—Nuggets $565
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $4.6K—Stanford $4.4K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7K—Heat $782
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $4.5K—Indiana $1.1K
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5K—Oilers $20
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
—Flyers $4.9K—Blue Jackets $348
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2——Over $4.5K
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
—Melquizael Costa $3.9K—Jared Gordon $133
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.4K—Canadiens $1.6K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.5K—Over $1
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $584—Under $2.4K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8—Over $2.8K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
—Kayla Harrison $2.4K—Amanda Nunes $376
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0K—Panthers $622
Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $1.0K—Kentucky $1.0K
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Pelicans $1.9K——Nuggets $105
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $1.7K——Mavericks $145
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K——
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881—Under $931
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
—Boise State $620—Oregon State $934
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $692—Over $794
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $16——Under $1.4K
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880——
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
Fresno State Bulldogs $906UC Riverside Highlanders $3——
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Stephen Thompson
—Stephen Thompson $574—Charles Radtke $291
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $260——Oklahoma $507
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $94——Timberwolves $545
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $587—Middle Tennessee $7
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2——Nets $579
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $167Over $259——
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $17—Auburn $56
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $185—Grizzlies $31K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $28K—USC $3
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $25K—Georgia State $843