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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgoogleplaynigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (345–290, n=635)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$410K$423K$403K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #20PM monthly #105PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus55% (128 of 232 open)0% (0 of 1 open)54% (67 of 124 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)0%14% (won 33% of 73)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 56% of 125)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)43% (won 69% of 226)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)0%18% (won 98% of 96)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplaynigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4.5KRockets $50KRockets $191—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $782—Yes $64No $1.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $30K—Yes $28KYes $954
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $358—Clippers $9.8K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $142—Over $3.2K—
Will Guatemala vs. Canada end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.8K—Yes $7—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $802—Over $1.2K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $118—Trail Blazers $1.6K—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $460—Yes $1.3K—
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $366—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5K—Canucks $29—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $69—Over $1.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.3K—Thunder $46—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $602—Over $305—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Trail Blazers $160—Kings $627—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $290—Yes $362—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $426—Clippers $12—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333—Golden Knights $79—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Jazz $321—Rockets $24—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $124—Over $182—
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Warriors $17—Spurs $259—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $156—Thunder $9—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $94—Over $57—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $79—Over $11—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $48—
Spread: Rockets (-37.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Rockets $6—Jazz $45—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $13—
Warriors vs. Spurs
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $7.0K—Spurs $8.3K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560—Spurs $9.6K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.0K—Over $876—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $3.5K—
Spread: Jazz (-2.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Rockets $3.5K—Rockets $32—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Under $1.8K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.0K—Spurs $2.1K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
Clippers $1.7K—Clippers $488—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $391—Jazz $1.7K—
Guatemala vs. Canada: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $243
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.2K—Spurs $655—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8K—Jazz $51—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $221—Rangers $1.2K—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $20—Colorado $1.0K—
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $661—Over $207—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $86—Predators $458—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $2—Kings $67—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3—
Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $15—Under $36—