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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 45% (14–17, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $328K | $324K | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #116 | PM monthly #287 | PM monthly #905 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (134 of 248 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 54% (93 of 173 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | MD14 | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Cavaliers $1.2K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $233 | — | Stars $96K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $510 | Under $47K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6.6K | — | Bulls $31K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $14K | — | Nuggets $504 | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | — | Utah $14K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | — | Nets $10K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $1.0K | — | Heat $10K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $615 | — | Nets $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.4K | — | Nets $4.9K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | — | Under $1.7K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $31 | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | — | Under $63 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Over $154 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $963 | — | Under $290 | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $685 | — | Under $330 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $914 | — | Mavericks $78 | — |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $133 | — | Nets $669 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | — | Oklahoma $507 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | — | Mavericks $63 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $254 | — | Over $424 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $350 | — | Nets $80 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | — | Nets $412 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $112 | — | Over $186 | — |
| Spread: Oilers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Maple Leafs | Maple Leafs $205 | — | Oilers $89 | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $54 | — | Over $53 | — |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | Utah $89 | — | Sharks $12 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $860 | — | Bulls $197K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $935 | — | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | — | Heat $11K | — |
| Florida vs. Kentucky same side · consensus Florida | Florida $2.9K | — | Florida $6.8K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $221 | — | Over $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | — | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Under $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $4.5K | — | Nuggets $117 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $384 | — | Texas Tech $2.9K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $814 | — | Under $2.2K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus South Carolina | Arkansas $1.1K | — | Arkansas $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $2.2K | — | Mavericks $32 | — |
| Senators vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $93 | — | Under $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.7K | — | Bulls $288 | — |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) same side · consensus Canadiens | Avalanche $59 | — | Avalanche $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $1.7K | — | Nuggets $10 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $141 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | — | Heat $915 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $57 | — | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | — | Bulls $37 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $457 | — | Bulls $373 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | — | Heat $363 | — |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) same side · consensus Bruins | Wild $26 | — | Wild $541 | — |