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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18wata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)54% (371–318, n=689)59% (40–28, n=68)no settled market
Consensus PnL$410K$398K$532K—
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #825
Sides with the consensus51% (109 of 215 open)69% (116 of 168 open)50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 62)33% (won 100% of 13)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)59% (won 100% of 115)44% (won 100% of 17)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)8% (won 100% of 15)21% (won 100% of 8)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18wata33-ts
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.2KSpurs $3.2KWarriors $3.4K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $585Clippers $1.7KThunder $7.5K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $1.6K—Thunder $260K—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.2KThunder $12K——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $505Under $9.8K——
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $71Over $3.2K——
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Auburn Tigers $889Arizona Wildcats $1.3K——
Lindenwood Lions vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 154.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5Under $1.5K——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $242Trail Blazers $376——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $501Trail Blazers $79——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5Under $499——
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona Wildcats
Auburn Tigers $314Arizona Wildcats $156——
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies $130California-San Diego Tritons $336——
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $336Clippers $40——
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $3——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $257Over $10——
Spread: Rockets (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Rockets $176Jazz $9——
Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 150.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $36Under $4——
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 157.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14Over $12——
Arizona Wildcats vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 158.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $20Over $3——
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $4.6KJazz $25K——
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.1KSpurs $25K——
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.4KSpurs $16K——
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $608Spurs $15K——
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.9KJazz $8.7K——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $8.6K——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $789Under $6.0K——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K——
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560Spurs $5.5K——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4KOver $2.6K——
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5KRangers $3.5K——
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8KJazz $2.7K——
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $446Thunder $3.6K——
Predators vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333Predators $3.6K——
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 156.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $235Under $2.0K——
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1K——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $477Kings $499——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $554Kings $44——
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $220Clippers $194——
Spread: San Diego Toreros (-14.5)
same side · consensus Chicago State Cougars
Chicago State Cougars $2Chicago State Cougars $382——
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-15.5)
same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates
Alabama Crimson Tide $204Alabama Crimson Tide $114——
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $4Warriors $173——
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $20Colorado $101——
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-17.5)
same side · consensus Seton Hall Pirates
Alabama Crimson Tide $3Alabama Crimson Tide $41——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1Over $35——
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Warriors $17Warriors $1——