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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)53% (472–417, n=889)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$502K$370K$399K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #10PM monthly #129was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus55% (100 of 183 open)65% (92 of 142 open)50% (68 of 135 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99yuyuvkxDD
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.7KNets $40KNets $1.2K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Utah $234Utah $17K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $211Under $14KOver $2.4K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.0KUnder $5.6KUnder $1.2K—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $423Pistons $2.3KHeat $7.5K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9KUnder $1.9KUnder $26—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.1KUnder $2.6KUnder $140—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KOver $936Over $121—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $657Under $922Under $37—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $710Pistons $157Heat $571—
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277Montana Grizzlies $155—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $75Nets $2Nets $105—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $88KGrizzlies $76K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $28KGrizzlies $36K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $6.5KBulls $13KBulls $32K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $2.2KHeat $8.4KHeat $14K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $5.1KOver $12K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Heat $1.0KHeat $10KHeat $1.3K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $6.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.6KBulls $2.7KBulls $1.8K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $931Under $3.7KUnder $2.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $188—Stars $137K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KOver $5.7K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7KOver $6.2K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K——
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KUnder $5.6K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.7KUnder $2.9K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $730—Nets $6.6K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9KOver $1.5K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $2.5K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Stanford $4.6KVirginia Tech $983—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.0KStanford $4.3K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.4KUnder $365—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2.9K—Nets $984—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $549—
Spread: New Mexico (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $2.3KUNLV $554—
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
—UTEP $1.9KWyoming $679—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KOver $273—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $853—Under $986—
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $616——
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $70—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $531Stanford $877—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KUnder $214——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $712—
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.2K—Timberwolves $4—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $879Over $352——
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $596UNLV $224—
Texas vs. LSU
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $219Texas $584—