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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 45% (14–17, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $482K | $362K | $324K | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #287 | PM monthly #905 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (131 of 243 open) | 64% (110 of 173 open) | 53% (91 of 171 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
71 on the same side, 68 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | shibaijiaoyiyuan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Cavaliers $48K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $6.6K | Bulls $9.1K | Bulls $31K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2.5K | Nets $9.1K | Nets $10K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $31 | Under $14K | Over $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $2.2K | Cavaliers $13K | Mavericks $32 | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | Utah $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3.3K | Under $8.4K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $914 | Cavaliers $8.1K | Mavericks $78 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $686 | Cavaliers $6.7K | Mavericks $63 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.0K | Under $4.6K | Under $63 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $963 | Under $5.1K | Under $290 | — |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $254 | Under $2.8K | Over $424 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | Heat $363 | — |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1 | Under $591 | Over $126 | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | Montana Grizzlies $216 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | Nets $412 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $935 | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $293 | Heat $6.0K | Heat $11K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $221 | Over $4.7K | Over $7.1K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $8.8K | Bulls $37 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | Under $4.9K | Under $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | Heat $915 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $2.0K | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $141 | Under $910 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $57 | Under $343 | Under $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Sabres $224 | — | Stars $96K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | — | Canadiens $14K | Avalanche $9.9K | — |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | — | Boise State $11K | Oregon State $999 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $1.0K | — | Heat $10K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $24 | Cavaliers $11K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | Over $6.2K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $325 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $4.0K | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.7K | Under $2.9K | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $615 | — | Nets $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $1.4K | — | Nets $4.9K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.2K | Over $1.9K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.6K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $1.3K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $867 | Under $4.2K | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | Under $361 | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.8K | Wyoming $2.7K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | Over $942 | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus South Carolina | — | South Carolina $2.7K | Arkansas $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $664 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $1.8K | UNLV $695 | — |