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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (3024–1268, n=4292) | 52% (594–553, n=1147) | 53% (542–483, n=1025) | 33% (2–4, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $518K | $398K | $643K | -$1.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | was PM monthly #684 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (174 of 297 open) | 70% (72 of 103 open) | 59% (58 of 99 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 12% (won 45% of 89) | 20% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | plsgodsaveme |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $16 | 49ers $25K | 49ers $103K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $11 | Under $12K | Under $3.1K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | Under $5.3K | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $145 | Celtics $4.5K | Celtics $1.2K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $82 | Suns $2.0K | Lakers $567 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $140 | Raptors $438 | Raptors $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $176 | Jazz $70 | Spurs $190 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $859 | Under $8.2K | Under $307 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-15.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $23 | Celtics $82 | Celtics $583 | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Pepperdine Waves $149K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $10K | Cowboys $64K | — |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $34K | — | Yes $6.0K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | — | Over $16K | — |
| Spain vs. England: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $5.5K | — | Yes $19K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $23K | — | Over $339 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $5.7K | Clippers $5.2K | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $10K | — | Under $14 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Spurs $9.3K | Jazz $650 | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7.2K | Over $2.2K | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8.3K | — | Under $7 | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Rams $7.9K | Cardinals $189 | — |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Croatia | Czechia $5.7K | — | Croatia $132 | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $798 | — | Over $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $4 | — | Raptors $5.4K | — |
| Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $335 | Under $4.8K | — |
| Spread: England (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Spain | Spain $3.8K | — | England $17 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $809 | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Will Italy win on 2026-11-15? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | — | Yes $1 | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.8K | Over $692 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Raptors $390 | Knicks $2.7K | — | — |
| Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $717 | — | Over $1.7K | — |
| Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | Yes $5 | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $53 | Over $1.8K | — | — |
| France vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | Over $45 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $1.1K | Suns $174 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $898 | — | Celtics $1 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $141 | — | Under $670 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Bucks $165 | Hawks $532 | — | — |
| San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico State Aggies opposite sides · consensus San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico State Aggies $2 | San Diego State Aztecs $681 | — | — |
| Spread: James Madison Dukes (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Mercyhurst Lakers | James Madison Dukes $34 | Mercyhurst Lakers $552 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $366 | — | Jazz $64 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $229 | Lakers $63 | — | — |
| Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5 | — | Over $161 | — |
| Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns opposite sides · consensus Texas Longhorns | Texas Longhorns $45 | Baylor Bears $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles | Missouri Tigers $25 | Marquette Golden Eagles $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-29.5) opposite sides · consensus Wisconsin Badgers | Wisconsin Badgers $4 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $9 | — | — |
| Will England win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus No | Yes $128K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Will France win on 2026-11-15? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $31K | — | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $4.8K | — | Celtics $27K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $13K | Under $18K | — |