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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighyuyuvkxDD
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)48% (617–662, n=1279)0% (0–1, n=1)
Consensus PnL$502K$370K$549K-$2.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #10PM monthly #18was PM monthly #418
Sides with the consensus54% (98 of 182 open)65% (92 of 142 open)58% (60 of 104 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighyuyuvkxDD
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.0KUnder $5.6KOver $28K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $657Under $922Over $25K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Utah $234Utah $25K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9KUnder $1.9KOver $16K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $6.5KBulls $13KTimberwolves $560—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Heat $1.0KHeat $10KPistons $3.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.1KUnder $2.6KOver $7.7K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.6KBulls $2.7KTimberwolves $409—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KOver $2.6KUnder $108—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $423Pistons $2.3KPistons $1—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KOver $936Over $339—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $879Over $352Under $12—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $710Pistons $157Heat $11—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $75Nets $2Nets $49—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $16Nets $37—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $8.2KGrizzlies $88KGrizzlies $38K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.1KGrizzlies $28KGrizzlies $348—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $2.2KHeat $8.4KHeat $8.9K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.9KOver $966Over $7.8K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8KTexas Tech $865—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $578Over $164Over $433—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $477Tulsa $43K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $1.7KNets $40K——
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KUnder $16K—
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Jose State
—Air Force $5San Jose State $17K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $188—Stars $13K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $7.3K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.9KOver $6.1K—
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $25Under $11K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K——
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $4.4K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $409—Nets $5.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $730—Nets $4.7K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KOver $10—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
Arkansas $2.2K—South Carolina $1.7K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $3.6KLSU $30—
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.2KHawai'i $728—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $291—
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $616——
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $1.6KLouisville $170—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2KUnder $214——
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $443—Nets $900—
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $754Louisville $444—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $525—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $853—Under $2—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $785—Over $9—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $509—Under $258—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $28Over $532——
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
Little Rock Trojans $9Northwestern State Demons $405——