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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighshibaijiaoyiyuan
Record (consensus markets)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)53% (516–456, n=972)48% (600–648, n=1248)45% (14–17, n=31)
Consensus PnL$482K$362K$512K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #905
Sides with the consensus54% (133 of 245 open)63% (108 of 171 open)52% (69 of 133 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

55 on the same side, 66 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighshibaijiaoyiyuan
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $115Cavaliers $48KCavaliers $133K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.3KUnder $8.4KOver $26K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $7.3KBulls $9.1KTimberwolves $14K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $155Cavaliers $15KMavericks $11K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Arizona $23Utah $231Arizona $21K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.0KUnder $4.6KOver $12K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $16Bruins $70Wild $17K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
Capitals $75Capitals $894Devils $16K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Heat $434Heat $7.4KPistons $5.2K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $963Under $5.1KOver $6.3K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
Flyers $13Blue Jackets $796Flyers $9.6K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $325Cavaliers $9.4KMavericks $448—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $4.5KBulls $2.0KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $549Cavaliers $6.2KMavericks $781—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $686Cavaliers $6.7KMavericks $2—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $306Under $2.8KOver $47—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $239Over $405Under $11—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $54Nets $15Nets $541—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $393Pistons $199Heat $9—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2Over $241Over $308—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $5Nets $8Nets $122—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $924Grizzlies $25KGrizzlies $291—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.7KOver $1.2KOver $8.7K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $293Heat $6.0KHeat $7.0K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $192Under $910Under $9—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $61Under $366Under $5—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $811Tulsa $40K—
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penguins
Senators $136—Penguins $32K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $21K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
—Canadiens $14KAvalanche $4.0K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $867Under $16K—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $2.2KCavaliers $13K——
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $11K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $9.6K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $2.5KNets $9.1K——
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $28Cavaliers $11K——
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $149Under $11K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Sabres $215—Stars $9.3K—
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Bilal Hasan
Luis Gurule $30—Bilal Hasan $7.9K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $3.9KVirginia Tech $3.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Grizzlies $615—Nets $6.0K—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KOver $3.0K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $5.7KLSU $24—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flyers
Blue Jackets $8—Flyers $5.1K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KOver $3—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $350—Nets $3.4K—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—North Carolina $2.1KLouisville $1.6K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $718—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
Arkansas $1.1K—South Carolina $1.7K—