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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2093–854, n=2947) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | no settled market | 55% (392–321, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | $387K | $332K | — | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #714 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (165 of 319 open) | 64% (121 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 46% (31 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | — | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 14% (won 37% of 79) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 32% (won 100% of 68) | — | 24% (won 59% of 138) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 60% (won 100% of 127) | — | 43% (won 72% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 7% (won 100% of 15) | — | 19% (won 98% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $377 | Heat $1.0K | — | Heat $45 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.1K | — | — | Yes $352 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $4.6K | — | Pelicans $103 |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.2K | — | James Madison $1.3K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $3.1K | — | Nets $14 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.6K | — | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $1.5K | — | Vanderbilt $983 |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.4K | — | USC $2 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | — | Ohio State $438 | — | Northwestern $1.9K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $371 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $516 | — | Over $844 |
| Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13 | Under $983 | — | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Mississippi State $382 | — | Auburn $370 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $453 | — | — | Over $11 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | Duke $356 | Miami (FL) $49 | — | — |
| Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $209 | Providence Friars $4 | — | — |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $106 | Under $105 | — | — |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $103 | — | — | Under $75 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $58 | Grizzlies $27 | — | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $78 | Over $3 | — | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Alabama $63 | — | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $6.1K | Pelicans $16K | — | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $12K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Yale (-3.5) same side · consensus Yale | — | Princeton $135 | — | Princeton $11K |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $6.4K | — | Indiana $911 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | Kansas $3 | Kansas $6.4K | — | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | — | Kennesaw State $2.9K | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | — | Browns $2.3K | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-11-14? same side · consensus No | Yes $2.7K | — | — | Yes $103 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.5K | — | Under $200 |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | Vanderbilt $542 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: Butler (-7.5) same side · consensus Marist | — | Butler $542 | — | Butler $942 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $172 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $26 | Texas Tech $1.2K | — | — |
| Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots: O/U 130.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $278 | Over $929 | — | — |
| Northwestern vs. Ohio State same side · consensus Ohio State | Northwestern $218 | Northwestern $911 | — | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $6 | — | Over $861 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $263 | — | South Carolina $542 |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 149.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $34 | Under $626 | — | — |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | — | BYU $297 | — | BYU $355 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | — | Texas A&M $23 | — | Texas A&M $519 |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State same side · consensus Georgia Southern | Georgia State $6 | — | — | Georgia State $520 |
| Spread: Colorado State Rams (-8.5) same side · consensus Colorado State Rams | Loyola Chicago Ramblers $36 | Loyola Chicago Ramblers $168 | — | — |
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes same side · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $41 | — | Kraken $51 |