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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 48% (512–551, n=1063) | 85% (22–4, n=26) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $332K | $545K | $318K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #121 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (161 of 257 open) | 68% (88 of 129 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 4% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 37% (won 100% of 126) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 171) | 22% (won 80% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 61% (won 100% of 14) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Kraken $4.8K | Hurricanes $33K | — |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | — | Texas A&M $6.2K | Tennessee $25K | — |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | Under $24K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $14K | — |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | Ohio State $396 | Northwestern $15K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.7K | Over $11K | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | — | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.3K | Over $5.5K | — |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | Bruins $550 | Wild $9.6K | — |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | — | Blue Jackets $833 | Flyers $8.8K | — |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | Liberty $2.6K | Middle Tennessee $6.3K | — |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.6K | Over $2.3K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $1.3K | Timberwolves $7.2K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | — | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.3K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — |
| Wake Forest vs. SMU opposite sides · consensus Wake Forest | — | SMU $258 | Wake Forest $6.5K | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $3.7K | Mavericks $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | — | LSU Tigers $1.6K | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K | — |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves | — | George Mason Patriots $1.3K | Bradley Braves $2.5K | — |
| Spread: West Virginia (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Kansas | — | West Virginia $410 | Kansas $3.4K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.5K | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Kraken | — | Kraken $1.3K | Hurricanes $479 | — |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $23 | Under $1.7K | — |
| Northwestern vs. Ohio State opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $862 | Ohio State $372 | — |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | — | Florida $18 | Kentucky $1.2K | — |
| Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots | — | Bradley Braves $110 | George Mason Patriots $686 | — |
| Spread: Ohio State (-14.5) same side · consensus Ohio State | — | Northwestern $28K | Northwestern $14K | — |
| Spread: Texas State (-9.5) same side · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $15K | Texas State $22K | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | — | Vanderbilt $4.7K | Vanderbilt $26K | — |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | Over $23K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9.3K | Over $15K | — |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina same side · consensus Coastal Carolina | — | Coastal Carolina $8.7K | Coastal Carolina $11K | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Kennesaw State | — | Kennesaw State $2.9K | Kennesaw State $12K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $870 | Nets $10K | — |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | — | Lightning $774 | Lightning $10K | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $50 | Miami (FL) $10K | — |
| Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 45.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $4.1K | Over $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Miami (FL) $5.8K | Miami (FL) $2.5K | — |
| Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.9K | Under $298 | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $685 | New Mexico $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.7K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) same side · consensus UConn | — | UConn $2.8K | UConn $1.4K | — |
| Wake Forest vs. SMU: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $343 | Over $3.8K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $678 | Over $3.4K | — |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt same side · consensus Alabama | — | Alabama $64 | Alabama $3.8K | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 57.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $2.5K | Under $576 | — |
| Spread: Nevada (-5.5) same side · consensus Nevada | — | Nevada $107 | Nevada $1.6K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.4K | Over $143 | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $532 | Over $899 | — |