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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ETHhedge | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 71% (2239–910, n=3149) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | 55% (393–322, n=715) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $432K | $332K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (162 of 327 open) | 63% (162 of 258 open) | 54% (85 of 156 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 40% (won 5% of 396) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 41% of 215) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 63% of 112) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 27% (won 94% of 265) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 118) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
66 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ETHhedge | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Heat opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $377 | Pistons $2.7K | Heat $15K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | Arkansas $625 | South Carolina $263 | South Carolina $542 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | Duke $314 | Miami (FL) $50 | Duke $337 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $4.3K | Nets $5.4K | Nets $25K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Nets $98 | Nets $3.7K | Nets $8.6K |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | — | Kansas $3 | Kansas $6.5K | Kansas $649 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | Colts $3 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $19K | Over $12K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $1.3K | — | Nets $16K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.3K | Over $9.6K |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $11K | — | Yes $2.8K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina | — | Arkansas State $327 | Coastal Carolina $8.7K | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Vanderbilt $4.7K | Alabama $4.2K |
| UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.9K | Under $4.2K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | — | South Carolina $6.6K | Arkansas $733 |
| Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL) | — | — | Miami (FL) $5.8K | Duke $439 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $5.3K | Over $688 |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.8K | Over $103 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | — | Nuggets $4.7K | Pelicans $77 |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | — | — | UConn $2.8K | James Madison $1.2K |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | — | Washington $3.1K | Michigan State $596 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.5K | — | Yes $210 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | — | Under $36 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.6K | — | Yes $1.7K |
| Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.5K | Under $309 |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $174 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | — | — | Alabama $1.7K | Vanderbilt $951 |
| East Carolina vs. Charlotte: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.5K | Under $144 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern | — | — | Ohio State $396 | Northwestern $2.2K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | — | Indiana $2.5K | USC $2 |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | — | San Francisco Dons $1.1K | Portland State Vikings $1.0K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $373 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $423 |
| Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.5K | — | Over $12 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Stanford $51 |
| Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $13 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.0K | — | Mavericks $105 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $250 | Heat $790 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Alabama | — | — | Alabama $64 | Vanderbilt $857 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | — | Mississippi State $383 | Auburn $377 |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | — | — | Siena Saints $526 | Brown Bears $216 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $572 | Under $142 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $667 | Over $34 |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $382 | Over $232 |
| Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | — | Over $351 |
| West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $99 | Under $426 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Pistons $171 | Heat $344 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $435 | — | Over $11 |