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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ETHhedgeFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2239–910, n=3149)54% (448–384, n=832)48% (512–551, n=1063)
Consensus PnL—$432K$332K$545K
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (162 of 327 open)63% (162 of 258 open)69% (90 of 130 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)31% (won 100% of 70)37% (won 100% of 126)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 171)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

51 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketETHhedgeFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $327Coastal Carolina $8.7KCoastal Carolina $11K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $314Miami (FL) $50Miami (FL) $10K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $132Cavaliers $3.7KMavericks $1.2K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $72George Mason Patriots $1.3KBradley Braves $2.9K
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
opposite sides · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $198Northwestern $862Ohio State $372
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $83Bradley Braves $110George Mason Patriots $552
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
——Kraken $4.8KHurricanes $33K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
——Texas A&M $6.2KTennessee $25K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $24K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.0K—Under $19K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $14K
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
——Ohio State $396Northwestern $15K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.7KOver $11K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.3KOver $5.5K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Bruins $550Wild $9.6K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $833Flyers $8.8K
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
——Liberty $2.6KMiddle Tennessee $6.3K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.6KOver $2.3K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $1.3KTimberwolves $7.2K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.3K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5K—Denmark $5.5K
Wake Forest vs. SMU
opposite sides · consensus Wake Forest
——SMU $258Wake Forest $6.5K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $2.1K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Under $3.9K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $3.2KPistons $1.3K
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
——LSU Tigers $1.6KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kansas
——West Virginia $410Kansas $3.4K
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.1K—Yes $35
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $377Pistons $2.7K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.5K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.5K—Over $733
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
——Kraken $1.3KHurricanes $479
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $23Under $1.7K
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $1.5K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $460—Kentucky $940
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Florida $18Kentucky $1.2K
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $12
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $625South Carolina $263—
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C
opposite sides · consensus Team Liquid
—LEGION $10—Team Liquid $877
West Georgia Wolves vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 148.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $99Under $426—
Will AS Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $421—No $46
Will UD Almería vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $316—Yes $4
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $221—Yes $2
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Colorado Buffaloes $207Providence Friars $3—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $105Under $67—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $75Over $28—
Knoxville: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniel Milavsky
same side · consensus Abedallah Shelbayh
—Abedallah Shelbayh $8.6K—Abedallah Shelbayh $85K
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
same side · consensus Ohio State
——Northwestern $28KNorthwestern $14K