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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CFFFFFFFSAHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (516–456, n=972)48% (600–648, n=1248)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$0$362K$512K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #837PM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #116
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (118 of 188 open)52% (77 of 147 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 39 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCFFFFFFFSAHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $48KCavaliers $133KCavaliers $1.2K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $811Tulsa $40K—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $18KNuggets $20K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.4KOver $26K—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $15KMavericks $11K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $9.1KTimberwolves $14K—
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Utah
—Utah $231Arizona $21K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $20K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Avalanche
—Canadiens $14KAvalanche $4.0K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $70Wild $17K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $894Devils $16K—
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $867Under $16K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $12K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $3.8KArkansas $11K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KOver $9.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $7.4KPistons $5.2K—
Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $149Under $11K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.1KOver $5.8K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $796Flyers $9.6K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $2.7K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $9.4KMavericks $448—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $3.9KVirginia Tech $3.2K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $6.2KMavericks $781—
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $6.7KMavericks $2—
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.4KOver $3.0K—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
—Texas $5.7KLSU $24—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $2.0KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4KUtah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2KOver $3—
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Carolina
—North Carolina $2.1KLouisville $1.4K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $45Under $3.3K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $718—
Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.8KOver $47—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $195—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $572Under $970—
Spread: Louisville (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
—North Carolina $547Louisville $388—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $19Kentucky $745—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $405Under $11—
Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $287Over $6—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Pistons $199Heat $9—
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $83KGrizzlies $33K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32KUnder $21K—
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus UNLV
—New Mexico $365New Mexico $32K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $25KGrizzlies $291—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
—Texas $1.9KTexas $18K—
San Jose State vs. Air Force
same side · consensus Air Force
—Air Force $213Air Force $14K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $6.0KHeat $7.1K—
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $170—
Oregon State vs. Boise State
same side · consensus Boise State
—Boise State $11KBoise State $895—