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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Cyclewin | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (28–21, n=49) | no settled market | 74% (1443–503, n=1946) | 46% (323–386, n=709) |
| Consensus PnL | $758K | — | $298K | $250K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #972 | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (12 of 23 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (170 of 283 open) | 63% (67 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46% | — | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 32% (won 5% of 159) | 7% (won 100% of 15) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 100% of 15) | — | 24% (won 43% of 119) | 39% (won 100% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 14) | — | 14% (won 61% of 70) | 47% (won 100% of 108) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 2) | — | 29% (won 95% of 142) | 7% (won 100% of 17) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
33 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Cyclewin | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $110K | — | 76ers $11K | 76ers $40K |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $134K | — | 76ers $1.1K | 76ers $2.6K |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $230 | — | 76ers $3.1K | 76ers $33K |
| Spread: 76ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Raptors $31K | — | Raptors $46 | 76ers $1.9K |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $111 | — | Raptors $508 | Raptors $5.6K |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $380K | — | — | Commanders $79K |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $144K | — | — | Commanders $40K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $3.8K | Mavericks $14K |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Suns $634 | Hornets $16K |
| Spread: Devils (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Capitals | — | — | Devils $69 | Capitals $14K |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $5.5K | — | — | Under $7.3K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $77 | Over $7.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | — | Wizards $2.9K | Pistons $3.1K |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Raptors $12 | 76ers $5.8K |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $597 | Over $4.9K |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | — | Pistons $769 | Wizards $3.5K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $759 | Under $3.1K |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Wild | — | — | Wild $1.8K | Maple Leafs $715 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | — | Lightning $1.4K | Blue Jackets $1.0K |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.1K | Under $115 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $818 | Over $173 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Timberwolves $946 | Mavericks $31 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $670 | Over $4 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | — | Raptors $263 | 76ers $204 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Senators | — | — | Senators $316 | Avalanche $9 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Sabres | — | — | Sabres $143 | Blackhawks $164 |
| Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend opposite sides · consensus Jay Dylan Friend | — | — | Yu-Hsiou Hsu $230 | Jay Dylan Friend $65 |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $78 | Over $198 |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $79 | Over $128 |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $95 | Over $111 |
| Spread: Senators (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Senators | — | — | Avalanche $23 | Senators $149 |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $64 | Over $44 |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $62 |
| Spread: Stars (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Stars $16 | Jets $13 |
| W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki | — | — | Joanna Garland $5 | Olivia Gadecki $18 |
| Spread: Suns (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $12 | Suns $5 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $5.7K | Timberwolves $53K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | — | — | Pistons $3.4K | Pistons $42K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $30K | — | — | Raptors $4.1K |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5 | Under $18K |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) same side · consensus Avalanche | — | — | Avalanche $151 | Avalanche $11K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Mavericks $684 | Mavericks $7.1K |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $1.1K | 76ers $5.3K |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $280 | Over $6.1K |
| Hornets vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $4.6K | Suns $984 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | — | Wizards $3.3K | Wizards $1.4K |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $294 | Raptors $2.9K |
| Spread: Raptors (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $2.2K | 76ers $844 |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Under $641 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $734 | Under $702 |